# What AI and Next-Word Prediction Reveal About Intelligence

- Original post: https://www.twitter.com/i/status/2111918928796717383
- Source account: [@haider1](https://x.com/haider1)
- Source language: English
- Duration: 1:45
- Published: 2026-10-19
- Canonical URL: https://www.translate.mom/transcript/APIAevtC4Plq/en/what-ai-and-next-word-prediction-reveal-about-intelligence

## Transcript

[0:00](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/APIAevtC4Plq/en/what-ai-and-next-word-prediction-reveal-about-intelligence) One thing that this whole era of AI is teaching us is what-- is our idea of what intelligence is, is not really accurate.

[0:06](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/APIAevtC4Plq/en/what-ai-and-next-word-prediction-reveal-about-intelligence?t=6) The, uh, the history of AI has been, here's a task that only humans can do. Like maybe it is read natural language or win at chess or solve a math problem. And then one by one, someone finds some AI algorithm that also does that.

[0:21](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/APIAevtC4Plq/en/what-ai-and-next-word-prediction-reveal-about-intelligence?t=21) Like, okay, we can now recognize faces. We can, we can now understand speech and-- But you look at how it's done, and it doesn't feel like intelligence. Like it's, oh, it was some trick.

[0:30](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/APIAevtC4Plq/en/what-ai-and-next-word-prediction-reveal-about-intelligence?t=30) You just, you just cobbled together these neural networks and random algorithm.

[0:34](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/APIAevtC4Plq/en/what-ai-and-next-word-prediction-reveal-about-intelligence?t=34) Mm-hmm. And we were looking for some elusive, intelligent way of thinking, and we don't see it in the tools that actually solve our goals.

[0:42](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/APIAevtC4Plq/en/what-ai-and-next-word-prediction-reveal-about-intelligence?t=42) But maybe it's actually because intelligence is not what we think it is.

[0:46](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/APIAevtC4Plq/en/what-ai-and-next-word-prediction-reveal-about-intelligence?t=46) So like large language models in particular have become very successful, and a lot of what they're doing is just predicting the next token, predicting the next word in a sentence.

[0:56](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/APIAevtC4Plq/en/what-ai-and-next-word-prediction-reveal-about-intelligence?t=56) And it, it doesn't sound like something which is intelligent.

[0:58](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/APIAevtC4Plq/en/what-ai-and-next-word-prediction-reveal-about-intelligence?t=58) Like you ask someone to improvise a speech, and they don't have no preparation, and at every moment they're just saying the next word that comes to their mind.

[1:06](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/APIAevtC4Plq/en/what-ai-and-next-word-prediction-reveal-about-intelligence?t=66) Stream of consciousness dump. Uh, you don't think that this is-- this could actually work, but it does for LLMs, and maybe that's actually a lot of what humans do as well.

[1:17](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/APIAevtC4Plq/en/what-ai-and-next-word-prediction-reveal-about-intelligence?t=77) This response I'm giving you right now is not rehearsed.

[1:19](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/APIAevtC4Plq/en/what-ai-and-next-word-prediction-reveal-about-intelligence?t=79) I haven't-- I didn't think about it that deeply, but it's-- You can get very far just by being in the moment and reacting.

[1:25](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/APIAevtC4Plq/en/what-ai-and-next-word-prediction-reveal-about-intelligence?t=85) Um, it's-- Certainly, there's not... There's some things that actually do require careful, deep thought, but you, you can do a lot of what seemingly seem like intelligent tasks almost by instinct or by autopilot. Um, um, that's I think one thing that the age of AI is teaching us, that maybe we're not quite as smart as we think we

[1:44](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/APIAevtC4Plq/en/what-ai-and-next-word-prediction-reveal-about-intelligence?t=104) are sometimes.