# Migration and Violent Crime in Germany: Police Statistics and Debate - Original post: https://www.twitter.com/i/status/2118257807443333254 - Source account: [@RyLiberty](https://x.com/RyLiberty) - Source language: English - Duration: 2:42 - Published: 2026-11-06 - Canonical URL: https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate ## Transcript [0:00](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate) Germany has a problem, one the media hide, twist with framing, and sometimes flat out lie about: migration. [0:05](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=5) But with these numbers, they can't. This is your daily dose of research. [0:09](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=9) First, what are we even looking at? The PKS is Germany's official police crime statistic. [0:13](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=13) It counts suspects, not convictions, and the government just published how often each nationality shows up. [0:17](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=17) Here's violent crime, and it's not just one category: rape, killings, robbery. [0:21](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=21) Iraqis, Afghans, and Syrians are at the top in every single one. [0:24](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=24) Insane numbers. But of course, the media have answers. [0:27](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=27) So let's take them apart one by one. Argument one: racist victims who report foreigners more and racist police who check them more. [0:32](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=32) Police checks catch small stuff: drugs, fare dodging, residence violations. [0:36](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=36) None of that is in this table. Victims do report foreign offenders more often. [0:39](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=39) But are foreigners falsely accused? Then they'd be convicted less often. [0:42](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=42) They aren't, and killings and attempted killings mostly come to the police anyway, and that's exactly where the gap is biggest. [0:47](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=47) Reporting can't explain that. Argument two: they're just young men. [0:49](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=49) Young men commit more crime everywhere. So let's compare young men with young men, same sex, same age. [0:54](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=54) Even at the same age, the gap stays, and Poles and Ukrainians land right next to Germans. [0:58](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=58) So it's not foreigners in general, it's where they come from. [1:01](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=61) And keep in mind who counts as German here. [1:02](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=62) Everyone who got citizenship, which means German numbers already include part of the migrant population. [1:07](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=67) Argument three: poverty, education, and the neighborhood. [1:09](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=69) Control for all that, and the difference disappears. It doesn't. [1:12](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=72) Denmark tracks crime by origin, not passport, and controls for age and work. [1:16](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=76) Men from the Middle East and North Africa still end up far above Danes. [1:18](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=78) Their sons born in Denmark, even higher. [1:20](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=80) In Germany, social status explains only a small part of the violence gap. [1:23](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=83) But you shouldn't even control for income like that because income doesn't cause crime. [1:27](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=87) Sibling and lottery studies make that clear, and one new study gets the gap all the way down to zero. How? [1:32](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=92) By also controlling for how much teenagers approve of violence. [1:34](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=94) That's like saying smokers don't get more lung cancer once you control for tar, because the approval of violence is the difference. [1:39](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=99) And then the media's favorite counter proof, the Ifo study. [1:42](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=102) More foreigners in a district doesn't mean more crime. [1:44](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=104) Here's what it really shows: foreigners are suspects far more often than Germans. [1:48](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=108) The study says so itself. It then looks at whole districts, and the effect only disappears after controlling for local German crime and unemployment, things migration itself can influence. [1:56](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=116) Over time, it looks at just six years. So the study doesn't show that foreigners aren't more criminal. [2:00](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=120) It confirms they are. Anyone using it as proof that they aren't either hasn't read it or is misrepresenting it on purpose. [2:06](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=126) So does migration from these countries cause more crime in Germany? [2:08](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=128) Yes, causally. Take a million Germans and a million Syrians, and yes, many of them are young men. That's not an excuse. [2:14](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=134) That's the reality of who comes. Those are suspects that wouldn't exist in this country without that migration. [2:18](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=138) Nobody gets robbed or stabbed less because someone else did it. [2:21](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=141) You barely see it in the overall numbers yet because these groups are still a small part of the population. [2:25](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=145) But every extra person from these countries adds that risk, and every politician who pushes for more migration from these countries knowing these numbers accepts it. [2:32](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=152) In reality, about ten times the risk, and even compared to German men of the exact same age, still four to five times. [2:38](https://www.translate.mom/transcript/Ev2lWhpl6a4u/en/migration-and-violent-crime-in-germany-police-statistics-and-debate?t=158) The victims are real people, and those politicians have blood on their hands.