Lebanon's Role in Israeli Elections

What matters to the Lebanese during these 60 days? We'll talk later about what happens

afterwards. But during these 60 days,

the greatest danger to us is what happens

if Iran decides today,

"I want to make sure Netanyahu falls."

What could Iran do to ensure Netanyahu falls?

It activates Hezbollah,

Hezbollah launches a few missiles and drones into Israeli

territory—meaning it crosses the border, carries out an operation, crosses

the border, sends an FPV drone or whatever, crosses

the border, and the situation here completely blows up.

Because if Israelis in northern Israel today, 200

and 50,000 to 300,000 between Nahariya, Kiryat Shmona, Metula,

and all these towns—if these people go and vote today,

all of them against Netanyahu, Netanyahu is ruined, and he is

already losing the elections. So here, if Iran decides

to meddle in the Israeli elections

using its tool in Lebanon, which is Hezbollah—that is what

Do Lebanese citizens matter to them over the next 60 days?

Right.

We go back once again to Hezbollah following the Iranian agenda...

...and the Lebanese one. As for the Israeli side, if today

he comes—

But that happens. Just bear with me, but this scenario you're

talking about will trigger

a response, meaning not only Netanyahu loses.

Of course, it will trigger a response and fierceness from Netanyahu.

This, this, this means that we— that, yes.

Of course.

But is Hezbollah in this mindset today, in your view? Because this calls for—

Let them come out and tell us no.

This will cost, it will cost Tyre,

Nabatieh, and Beirut.

Let them come out. We are assuming.

Are we assuming?

Just let them come out today to reassure...

...reassure the people of the South, in Nabatieh and Tyre. Hezbollah,

militarily defeated, should come out and tell us, "I am unable

to win militarily, but because I want to intervene today,

I got Iranian orders, so bear with me because there will be

a violent reaction before the elections." Let them tell the people.

He won't do that, just as he told political leaders,

"I won't provide support," and shortly after, the six rockets were fired.

Let him come out and tell us, to see if there's really any credibility in anything with

his people, not us, because we don't believe him.

Second, if nothing happens, meaning Hezbollah doesn't launch an operation,

and doesn't get Iranian orders to launch one. Today, during these 60

days, it's in Netanyahu's interest to say, "I've secured northern

Israel. Look, there's not a single rocket, drone, or anything coming out of

southern Lebanon or Gaza. Just as I told you, I will protect

Israel, and I advanced into Syria, Lebanon, and Gaza,

and created, uh, buffer zones. So I want to

continue this policy," and he'll go and try to hold his elections.

Anyone following the Israeli election numbers knows that Netanyahu's

coalition today cannot reach a majority,

by far, not just a bit—he's at 50 and needs 61.

He's losing.

With this makeup, he cannot move forward.