Analysis of US-Iran Military Campaigns

Right, Behnam.

Okay.

We had this article from The Washington Post,

which also argued that

it doesn't seem like this

military campaign launched by Trump

will lead to a change in the leadership's behavior in Iran.

Can the guys put up its image too?

Can you also put up the image from The Washington Post?

Look,

this article says that based on new intelligence assessments

by current intelligence officials

as well as

a number of former officials

who were hired as consultants

on this project,

and intelligence service analysts,

they have concluded that

they say this current campaign

against Iran

will not cause Iran

to change its stance in the negotiations.

It's very clear.

This is the intelligence assessment of

the Americans themselves.

What is Iran's stance in the negotiations?

Probably the same MOU, right?

Those 14 points they signed.

They are demanding more than that.

Meaning, for example, they say, "I want concessions,"

"and I won't pay any money," and so on,

just demanding whatever they want.

Let me tell you

that this is completely the output

of their own organization.

There is a point where it says, "We cannot

continue this endlessly."

And there is a clear reason for it.

An endless war becomes like the Vietnam War,

or the war in Afghanistan.

It says these countries had nothing;

they could only fight our military.

Well, that is the reality.

Just as Lyndon Johnson's children

were not being killed in Vietnam,

Trump's children were not being killed in Afghanistan,

and would not be killed in Iran.

That's how it is.

Only the military is involved there,

and they spend some money,

and inside America, there are some people

who benefit from the war,

and they actually blow the war trumpet.

But it says Iran's case has an essential difference,

which is that it is actually, in a completely tangible way,

putting pressure inside America itself,

so much so that up to the moment this article was written,

these officials said, and they actually emphasize, that these officials, due to the current situation...

They insisted that we do not mention their names or who spoke.

This is also probably due to the ethics of the current White House chief and his team.

He says that the Iranians are applying direct pressure.

Even up to this point, he says no foreign war in America has ever so quickly...

...become an unpopular reality in public opinion.

This is really true, and for example...

Kennedy, who entered Vietnam, for a very long time...

the American people didn't even know they were fighting in Vietnam.

Then Kennedy is assassinated, and his vice president...

Lyndon Johnson takes office.

And Lyndon Johnson, it becomes clear when he orders an increase in troops...

...and during that few-year period, he becomes so unpopular...

...that Johnson himself didn't run for president again.

He completely stepped aside and didn't enter the race.

And he says this is the very impact it is having, he says just this...

Now this has become an unpopular issue.

And the pressure we are applying

will not change the minds of the Iranians.

He says they are taking a hit, and in return, they are delivering a hit.

This new development has also occurred, with Bab-el-Mandeb also

actually slipping out of US maritime dominance.

It is taking on an order that goes against that of the United States.

Whatever it is and what form it takes is not the discussion for now.

This is happening, and it's impossible to continue this way.

We have already mentioned a point before, it was in another article.

We must accept the exigencies of war.

Look, the Americans must either escalate the tension,

or, fighting this way, time is not on their side.

Meaning, for example, if the strait is closed for another month, what will the price of oil be?

And they have depleted their reserves.

It tries to cover all of this.

It's a good article, but right now the internet won't load, so I can't...

They should go themselves, using the same tactics we explained several times on this show.

Yeah, yeah.

So the Iranian audience can use it.