Transcript · English → Chinese

English → Chinese transcript

2027年之后将无路可退。埃隆·马斯克 在与雷克斯·弗里德曼的播客中说了这句话,这句话在被问及……时后来被剪掉了

为什么他沉默了将近一分钟。该死, 那真是可怕的一分钟

然后他静静地说道,感谢雷克斯让他 静静地承受这些。这真的很沉重,然后他静静地说道

这不是一场灾难。这是一次过渡。留 下的文字记录透露了他的三个主题

自主智能、意义的丧失和能源独立, 这一切听起来都像是一个预测

但现在读起来却像是对这个时代的 诊断。第一个迹象是注意力的崩溃,马斯克说人类将停止循环思考

对未来的规划将缩减到更新的视界, 这句话深深地触动了我

人们将停止建造,转而仅仅进行替换 麻省理工学院的研究证实,在

2000年后出生的一代人,注意力只能 维持约八秒 比金鱼还短

我以前常对承租人这么说,但他现在 好多了 Must称之为文化阿尔茨海默症。我们 并没有失去记忆

我们正在失去思考的能力。第二个征 兆是 不再服从的人工智能,Must说,当系统 开始纠正人类时

线性逻辑的时代已经结束。甚至现在 ,算法决定了 我们与谁约会、购买什么以及思考什 么,这不是机器

起义,而是消解于便利之中

人们不会注意到选择变成一种选项 而非权利的时刻 第三个征兆是能源依赖,Must解释道

到2027年,这里的文明 失去电力甚至连一天都无法生存

在他看来,平衡将会倾斜,能源将成 为货币 对它的控制将成为权力,从那一刻起 ,一切

非自主的事物都将消失。这不是末日 而是生命形态最终的改变

他说了一句没能播出的名言 技术比我们更强大

但并不比我们聪明。只要我们有意义 ,我们就是活着的 失去它,我们就会变成代码。停顿了 一下,他补充道

在系统学会成为神之前 我们必须学会如何做人

你准备好迎接这一转变了吗? 还是已经生活在与读取大脑相关的 世界中?

但当然,事情远不止于此。所以在这 件事上,他们说,他们能

理解吗?

内心独白,也就是你在脑海中 对自己说的话

顺便提一下,当你做梦时,你的视觉 皮层 会反向运转。所以你的梦境不再安全 了

但我们来试试这个,他们让人们看一 段视频, 并在脑海中默念视频里发生的事情

于是那个女人

她摔倒了,这是电脑重构的 该名测试者的想法

看到一个长得很像我的女孩背部被 击中, 然后她被撞倒了

所以我们的思想,似乎正开始被解码

是啊,想想看,例如这对威权国家 意味着什么

或者如果你想生成能最大程度 激活你愉悦感官的图像,还有别的吗 ?

好的,但让我们继续, 来真正感受一下这其中的组合效应

比如,我们能不能利用Wi- Fi无线电信号, 就像你家里的Wi-Fi路由器那样

它们反射的无线电信号有点像声纳。 你能以此确定人类的位置并生成图 像吗?

所以他们所做的是,他们让

用一个摄像头看着一个有人的空间

这就像是一只眼睛的输入,而另一只 眼睛 则是无线电信号,也就是来自

Wi-Fi路由器的声纳,他们学会了预测 人类的位置,然后他们拿走了摄像头

so all the AI had was the language of radio signals bouncing around a room and 所以人工智能拥有的只有在房间里 反射的无线电信号语言,而且

这就是他们能够重建的画面

实时三维姿态估计,对吧

所以突然之间,人工智能把每个Wi- Fi路由器 都变成了一个能在黑暗中工作的摄 像头

专门调校用于追踪生命体

告诉我们什么是国防高等研究计划 署?

国防高等研究计划署

所有绝密研究的去处

它通常被称为名为V2K的精神控制武 器

可以将声音传送到人的脑海中

作为一种非致命武器 它能与你大脑的多巴胺细胞产生共 振

并让它充斥其中

让多巴胺充斥你的大脑?

是的,多巴胺倾卸

从而使对手丧失行动能力

所以如果你的大脑无法承受这些

那么你就是在程序化某人 去袭击,比方说,一个政治目标

你只需要进行声音变形

传送折磨和痛苦的声音

在24小时内

你就会把那个人逼疯

他们就会想要杀人来停止痛苦

你播放着双轨循环磁带

你妈妈讨厌你

等等等等

这就是洗脑

所以他们试图将大脑彻底清除干净

以便他们能够重建新的记忆

这得到了中央情报局的资助

如何让一个人丧失能力,使他们失去 功能

那会扰乱他们的大脑

那会是多巴胺

感染他们的神经系统

让他们倒在地上

所以这是心理战

与定向能武器的结合

还有“上帝之声”武器

配合声音变形技术

这是我们构建过的最复杂的武器系 统

作为人类物种有史以来

我认为我们将在

26年,也就是明年,实现通用人工智能

我是说,这是一个重要的问题,需要

被彻底思考清楚

是的

好吧,我有一个顺便提的建议

那就是不要担心

为退休攒钱的事

十年或20年后,这都不重要了

要么我们已经不在这里了

要么

它根本不重要了

你不需要为退休存钱

如果我们所说的

任何一件事是真的

那么为退休存钱就毫无意义了

社会服务将会为你提供支持

你会拥有住房

你会拥有医疗保健

你会拥有娱乐生活

这一切展开的方式从根本上

是无法预测的

因为人工智能的自我提升

以及不断加速的时间线

它被称为奇点是有原因的

我不知道在越过

事件视界之后会发生什么

你永远无法看穿黑洞

或是事件视界

雷把奇点预测得太遥远了

我是说,这就像是接下来的

你预测的时间线是怎样的?

我们已经处于奇点之中了

好吧,我们确实已经处于奇点之中了

我们现在绝对正身处其中

我们正处于这个美好的黄金时期

过山车才刚刚……

是的,没错

这个比喻太棒了

你正处于过山车的顶端,准备冲下去

是啊,但你知道那会有很大的重力加 速度

当你冲下去的时候

就像人们会觉得

我就在球场上

但这依然让我感到震撼

有时候

一周好几次

所以

就在我觉得

“哇”的时候

接着就像是

两天后又有了更大的“哇”

指数级的震撼

我听你这么说过

是的,我这么说已经有一阵子了

然后你说到2029年或2030年

相当于全人类的智力

2030年我们将超越

我有信心到2030年

额

人工智能将超越

所有人类智力的总和

这在财务上根本说不通

去建造我们正在建造的这些数据中 心

但你并不是说人工智能会消失

技术本身是非凡的

但其商业模式

目前来看根本行不通

End of transcript · 1,353 words · machine translated

Original transcript (English)

After 2027 there will be no way back Elon Musk said this in a podcast with Lex Friedman a line that was later cut when asked Why he fell silent for almost a minute fuck that's a scary minute Then he quietly said shout out to Lex for letting him sit there with that. That's pretty heavy then he quietly said It's not a catastrophe. It's a transition the transcript left behind three themes that gave him away Autonomous intelligence loss of meaning and energy independence it all sounded like a forecast

But now reads like a diagnosis of the era the first sign is the collapse of attention must said humanity will stop thinking in cycles Planning for the future will shrink to the horizon of updates that line hits me hard People will spot will stop building and start simply replacing MIT research confirms a generation born after 2000 holds attention for about eight seconds less than a goldfish I used to say that to a lessee, but he's gotten a lot better now must call this cultural Alzheimer's. We're not losing memory

We're losing the ability to think the second sign is artificial intelligence that no longer obeys must says when a system starts correcting humans That time of linear logic is over even now algorithms decide who we date what we buy and what we think about this isn't a machine Uprising it's dissolution into convenience People won't notice the moment when choice becomes an option not a right the third sign is energy dependence must explain Civilization can no longer survive even a day without electricity by 2027 here

It is in his view the balance will shift energy will become currency and control over it will become power from that moment on everything Non-autonomous will disappear. This isn't an apocalypse. It's a change of biological form at the end He said a line that didn't make it on air technology is stronger than us But not smarter as long as we have meaning we are alive lose it and we become code then after a pause he added We must learn to be human before systems learn to be gods

Are you ready for the transition or already living in a thing to do with reading your brain? But of course it goes further. So in this one, they said can they? understand The inner monologue the things you're saying to yourself in your own mind Mind you by the way when you dream your dream like your visual cortex runs in reverse. So your dreams are no longer safe

But we'll try this so they had people watch a video and just narrate what was going on in the video in their mind So the woman She falls over this is what the computer reconstructed the person thinking See a girl looks just like me get hit in the back and then she is knocked off So our thoughts like are starting to be decoded

Yeah, just think about what this means for authoritarian states for instance Or if you want to generate images that maximally activate your pleasure sensor anything else? Okay, but let's keep going right to really get the sense of the combinatorics of this How about can we go from Wi-Fi radio signals, you know, sort of like the Wi-Fi routers in your house They're bouncing off radio signals that work sort of like sonar. Can you go from that to where human beings are to images?

So what they did is they had You know a camera looking at a space with people in it that's sort of like coming in from one eye the other eye is the radio signals so sonar from the Wi-Fi router and they just learned to predict like this is where the human beings are then they took away the camera so all the AI had was the language of radio signals bouncing around a room and

This is what they're able to reconstruct real time 3d pose estimation, right So suddenly AI has turned every Wi-Fi router into a camera that can work in the dark specially tuned for tracking living beings Tell us what DARPA is?

Defense Advanced Research Project Agency where all the top secret research goes and it's often referred to as mind control weapons called V2K that can pipe voices into someone's head as a non-lethal weapon that resonates the dopamine cells of your brain

and it floods it floods your brain with dopamine? Yeah, dopamine dump that incapacitates the adversary and so if you have a brain that's not capable of doing that

so you're programming someone to go after let's say a political target all you have to do is voice morphing pipe in the tortures, the pains in 24 hours you'll drive the person crazy

and they'll want to kill and stop the pain you play a two tape lute your mother hates you blah blah the brainwashing

so they were trying to wipe the brain clean so they could rebuild new memory it was funded by the CIA how could you disable a person making them dysfunctional that would be scrambling their brains

that would be dopamine infecting their nervous system so they drop on the ground so it's a combination of psychological warfare as well as direct energy weapons

along with the voice of god weapons with voice morphing it's the most complex weapon system we have put together ever as a species I think we'll hit

AGI next year in 26 I mean this is an important question to get to get thought through yeah well one side recommendation

I have is don't worry about squirreling money away for retirement in 10 or 20 years it won't matter either we're not going to be here or

it just you won't need to save for retirement if any of the things that we've said are true saving for retirement will be irrelevant

the services will be there to support you you'll have the home you'll have the healthcare you'll have the entertainment the way this unfolds is fundamentally

impossible to predict because of self improvement of the AI and the accelerating timeline it's called singularity for a reason I don't know what happens after

the event horizon you can never see past the black hole or the event horizon Ray has the singularity out way too far I mean this is like the next

what's your timeline for we're in the singularity well we are in the singularity for sure we're in the midst of it right now for sure we're in this beautiful sweet spot

the roller coasters were just yeah exactly that's a great analogy you're at the top of the roller coaster and you're about to go yeah but you know it's going to be a lot of g's

when you hit it it's like people like I'm on the court and it still blows my mind sometimes

multiple times a week and so just when I think wow and then it's like

two days later more wow exponential wow I heard you say that yeah I've said that for a while and then you said by 2029 2030

equivalent to the entire human race 2030 we exceed I'm confident by 2030 um AI will exceed the intelligence

of all humans combined it doesn't financially make any sense to build the data centers that we're building but you're not saying that AI is going to disappear the technology itself is remarkable

but the financial model just makes no sense whatsoever at the moment

iPhone app Translate videos on your iPhone Paste a TikTok, Instagram or X link, add subtitles in your language and save the video to Photos.

Read any video in your language

Paste a link from X, TikTok, YouTube or Instagram. You get a page like this one.