Fair Value Gap Trading: Market Structure and Liquidity Sweeps
Value gaps show where big players have entered the market and pushed the price
strongly. When price returns to these gaps,
we often see reactions that
can give us a good trading opportunity.
Here on the pound dollar one-hour chart, price tapped into the bearish fair value
gap and moved to the downside. Then it formed another FVG
and rejected to the downside again.
On the euro dollar one-hour chart, you can see how many times the price
reacted to
the fair value gap before the reversal happened.
We can apply this concept to all timeframes.
Refining a fair value gap means zooming into a lower timeframe to find a more
accurate FVG inside the larger area.
For example, if we zoom into the four-hour chart,
we can mark a four-hour
FVG inside that large daily zone. This way, instead of a large
daily imbalance, we get a tighter and more precise zone to work with.
This trading example, we have multiple fair value gaps marked on
the chart.
We are only interested in buying when the price taps into the middle one.
So why are we not interested in trading the others?
If we take the start and the end of the latest impulsive move
and apply the
retracement tool, you'll notice that the second FVG is located below the
fifty percent level, which is the discount zone, while this FVG
is located above the fifty percent level, which is the premium side of the range.
We are only interested in buying in the discount zone for multiple reasons.
Usually, the market loves to take out early buyers.
So a safer way to enter a long trade is to wait for the price to enter the
discount
This increases the chance of success and reduces the risk of becoming a
liquidity target. Also, wherever we buy, the
safest level to place the stop loss is below the swing low.
Therefore, we want to keep our stop close to
that level.
Additionally, our first target would be the recent high.
So if we enter at the first FVG, there is simply not enough room for a
proper reward. This method works best when the market makes deep
retracements. The reason we are also not interested in buying at the
lower
FVG is that if price breaks below the swing low, the market structure
shifts bearish, and a long trade would go against the
trend unless we
identify this break as a liquidity grab, in which case price might still move
higher.
The same concept applies to a bearish scenario.
Here, we have two fair value gaps. But if we apply the retracement
tool from the start of the move to the end, we can see that only the higher one
is located inside the premium zone.
So we are only interested in selling in the premium area.
This ensures a safer stop loss placement and allows for a higher reward.
Analyzing market structure on the higher timeframe.
To identify the direction, we look for breakouts, reversals,
and liquidity sweep
patterns.
Now we can see that we have multiple breaks of structure to the upside,
indicating
that the overall direction is bullish.
Then the market forms a liquidity sweep above the previous high,
signaling a potential reversal. This reversal is later confirmed once we
get
a break and close below this low, which is called a change of character
plus.
It happens when price fails to create a new high and then breaks the swing low to
the downside. This tells us that buyers have failed to defend their
positions and sellers are now in control.
A bullish liquidity sweep happens when price moves below the area
and triggers the
stop losses and then quickly comes back above the range.
When this happens, we expect a push to the upside.
Similarly, a bearish liquidity sweep happens
when price engages liquidity above a
swing point and then quickly returns below the range.
When this happens, we expect a push to the downside.
Bullish and bearish liquidity sweeps are marked respectively with green and red
circles on the chart. In the first scenario,
we have a very small fair value gap.
When this happens, you should consider using a larger zone
for your stop loss, so
it is protected from normal market fluctuations.
In the opposite scenario, we have a large fair value gap on the
lower timeframe,
and the issue here is that placing the stop below this zone
would result in a very
large stop loss. In this case, we can either use a smaller zone below the
FVG as our stop or place our buy order in the middle of the zone.
By doing this, our risk to reward ratio improves
significantly if the
trade ends up being a winner. On the euro dollar one-hour chart, we
were in a clear downtrend until we saw a liquidity sweep followed by a change of
character.
Both of these signals indicate that sellers are no longer in control
and that our
directional bias has turned bullish.
On this chart, we can identify two fair value gap areas,
but only the
one located on the discount side of the range is considered a valid trading zone
for us.
After identifying this area, we simply wait for price to return into
the FVG
and then zoom into a lower timeframe to look for long trade opportunities.
When we move to the five-minute chart, we can see that price creates a change of
character by breaking above this level, which acts as our confirmation
and reversal
signal.
At this point, we identify a new fair value gap on the
five-minute
timeframe and place our buy order at the beginning of the zone.
Let's set our stop loss below it and target the next important zone in
front of the
price. Let's see how this trade plays out.
Next, on the CAD/JPY one-hour chart, we see a clear downtrend with multiple
fair value gaps. But after applying the retracement tool,
only one of
these zones is a valid supply according to our rules.
Once we mark our trading zone, we wait for price to retrace back into the
area
and then zoom into a lower timeframe to execute the trade according to our plan.
On the five-minute chart, price forms a change of character along
with a fair value
gap, giving us our entry setup. We place a sell order at the beginning of
the
FVG zone and set our stop loss above it.
As you can see, this trade ends up being a win.
However, loss is part of trading.
No matter how good your strategy is, losing trades are unavoidable, and
a loss does not mean that your analysis was wrong.
The most important thing is to clearly define your rules,
stick to them,
and follow proper risk management.
As long as you do that consistently, you will be fine in the long run.
So that's it for this video.
I hope it provided value to you.
End of transcript · 1,183 words