Transcript · Chinese (China) → English
Future Automotive's Rescue by Hefei
When NIO had only one breath left, why did Hefei gamble seven billion to save it?
In 2019, William Li said, "We negotiated everything we could. I could accept any conditions, but we still couldn't find a single penny."
When these words come from the CEO of a US-listed company, you know how miserable NIO was at that time.
Its stock price fell from $6.26 at IPO to $1.19, just one centimeter away from the $1 delisting red line.
Some investment banks directly cut the target price to $0.9. The message was clear: don't bother saving it, just wait to die.
With an annual loss of 11.3 billion, burning through 26.7 billion in three years, and net assets of only 456 million, the CFO resigned.
From April to June 2019, the ES8 had four consecutive spontaneous combustion incidents, recalling over 4,800 vehicles. Consumers shook their heads at the mere mention of NIO.
Wall Street was selling off, Hillhouse Capital was liquidating its position, and someone online gave William Li a title: "The most miserable person of 2019."
William Li later said that during the most anxious times, he wasn't even sure if they could pay next month's salaries. To survive, he started looking for money all over China. Beijing Yizhuang State-owned Investment negotiated ten billion, but it fell through.
News of cooperation came from Huzhou, Zhejiang, but Huzhou officials directly issued a statement denying it. One after another, a total of 18 cities all rejected him. It wasn't that they didn't want to help, but no one dared to gamble.
An emerging car company with annual losses of tens of billions, stock price almost falling to waste paper, and cars still spontaneously combusting—who would dare to jump in? Then, Hefei came.
In January 2020, William Li finished a meeting in Hefei and was about to take the high-speed train back to Shanghai. While waiting at the station, he sent a New Year's greeting to a friend. The friend replied, "Don't leave. Talk to the Hefei government." When William Li later recalled this detail on CCTV, he spoke very honestly. He really didn't have any expectations for Hefei, as the previous 18 had all ended the same way.
Why would the 19th one be any different? He was already numb from being rejected.
When the people from Hefei met him, they didn't beat around the bush and said directly, "Why don't you talk to Hefei and give it a try?"
With just this one sentence, NIO's fate began to turn around.
Over the next month or so, Hefei conducted carpet-style due diligence on NIO, turning the finance, technology, and market teams upside down, item by item.
After the investigation, Hefei reached a conclusion and signed a framework agreement on February 25, 2020.
The official contract was signed on April 29. From contact to finalization, it took only 65 days.
How fast was it? The outside world later gave this pace a name: "Hefei Speed."
The specific plan was like this: Hefei Construction and Investment, SDIC Merchants, and Anhui High-tech Investment, three strategic investors, jointly contributed seven billion yuan.
Of this, Hefei state-owned assets contributed five billion, and NIO itself invested another 4.26 billion.
After the transaction was completed, NIO held 75.9% and the state-owned assets held 24.1%. And that wasn't all. Less than two months after the agreement was signed,
7.356 billion yuan in cold, hard cash arrived. The first thing William Li said when he got the money was, "The company is out of the ICU."
This is no exaggeration. At the end of 2019, NIO was indeed lying in the ICU with tubes all over its body. Hefei's seven billion was like a shot of adrenaline, injected straight in.
But you have to know that Hefei wasn't doing charity. There was a list of hard targets in the agreement.
Revenue of 14.8 billion in 2020, 120 billion in 2024, and total revenue of 420 billion by 2025, with total tax of 7.8 billion. If not met, they must repurchase with principal and interest at an 8.5% annual interest rate.
Yu Aihua, Secretary of the Hefei Municipal Party Committee, later said something very practical: "Only by sharing hardships first can we share wealth."
Everyone saw what happened next. In 2020, NIO survived. In January 2021, its stock price surged to 66 dollars, and its market value exceeded 100 billion dollars. What does that mean? It surpassed BMW, GM, and Ford combined.
Hefei reduced its holdings three times, NIO repurchased over eight billion, and the three state-owned entities still hold about 6.5% to this day, making a fortune on paper.
In 2024, Hefei added another 3.3 billion. This time, it wasn't an emergency rescue, but continuing to double down.
Many people say Hefei's development relies entirely on sheer luck, but that's not the case at all. In the early years, Hefei heavily invested in home appliances, screens, and chip industries.
Later, when NIO was on the verge of collapse, Hefei stepped in with seven billion to save it. This was by no means an impulsive waste of money.
The government team thoroughly understood all of NIO's financial accounts, calculated all the pros and cons, and only dared to put down this huge sum after rigorous study and judgment.
Yu Aihua's words are most appropriate here: if Hefei hadn't lent a hand back then, NIO would likely be gone.
But looking at it from another angle, if Hefei hadn't had a mature industrial layout and long-term vision in home appliances, panels, and chips, even if NIO ran itself ragged with its proposal, it would have only become the 19th city to reject them.
End of transcript · 951 words · machine translated
Original transcript (Chinese (China))
未来只剩一口气的时候 合肥为什么要赌70亿救他 2019年的李斌说 能谈的都谈了 我可以接受一切条件 但也没有找到一分钱 这话从一个美股上市公司CEO嘴里说出来 你就知道当时的未来有多惨了 股价从上市时的6.26美元 跌到1.19美元 距离一美元退市红线只剩一厘米 有投行直接把目标价调到0.9美元 意思很明确 别救了等死
全年亏损113亿 三年累计烧掉267亿 净资产只剩下4.56亿CFO词了 2019年4月到6月 ES8连发四起自燃 召回4800多辆 消费者一听到未来两个字就摇头 华尔街在抛售 高瓴资本在清仓 网上有人给李斌封了个名号 2019年最惨的 李斌后来说,最焦虑的时候,连下个月工资发不发得出来都不确定,为了活命,他开始满中国找钱,北京益庄国投弹了100亿,黄了。 浙江湖州传出合作消息,湖州官方直接发声明否认,一个接一个整整18个城市,全把他拒了,不是不想帮,是没人敢赌。
一架年亏上百亿股价快跌成废纸车还在自然的新势力车起,谁敢往里跳,然后合肥来了。 2020年1月,李斌在合肥开完一个会,正准备坐高铁回上海,在车站等车的时候,他给一个朋友发了条拜年信息,朋友回他,别走。 跟合肥政府聊聊,李斌后来在央视回忆这个细节时,说的特别实在,他本来对合肥真没抱什么期待,前面18家都是一样的结局。 凭什么第19家会不一样? 早被拒麻了 合肥的人见到他 没绕弯子 直接一句话对过来 你为什么不跟合肥谈一谈 试一试呢 就这一句话 未来的命从这句话开始 往回拉
接下来一个多月 合肥对未来进行了地毯式禁掉 财务技术市场团队 一项一项翻个底朝天 调研完 合肥给出了结论 2020年2月25日签框架协议 4月29日正式签约 从接触到落定 只用了65天 速度有多快呢 外界后来给这个节奏起了个名字叫 合肥速度 具体方案是这样的 合肥箭头 国投招商 安徽高投 三家战略投资者 共同出资70亿元
其中合肥国资出了50亿 未来自己再投42.6亿 交易完成后 未来持股75.9% 国资方持股20% 24.1这还不算完协议签完不到两个月 73.56亿真金白银就到账了 李斌拿到钱说的第一句话 公司从ICU出来了 这不是夸张 2019年底的未来 确实就躺在重症监护室里浑身插满管子 合肥那70亿相当于一针肾上腺素 直接推了进去 但你得知道合肥不是做慈善的 协议里有一串硬指标
2020年营收148亿 2024年营收1200亿 2025年前总营收4200亿 总税收78亿 达不到 按年利率8.5%连本代理回购 合肥市委书记于爱华 后来说了一句很实在的话 先跟人家共患难才能同富贵 后来的事大家都看到了 2020年未来活了 2021年1月股价冲上66美元 市值突破千亿美元 什么概念 超过宝马通用福特三家加起来 合肥三次减持 未来回购超80亿 三家国资到现在还拿着约6.5% 账面上转翻 2024年合肥又追加33亿 这次不是救急 是继续加码
很多人都说合肥发展全靠壮大运 其实根本不是 早些年合肥重仓家电 屏幕 芯片产业 后来未来快要撑不下去 合肥直接砸70亿出手相救 这可不是一时冲动乱花钱 政府团队把未来公司所有财务账目 全部摸透 把利弊得失全都算清楚 经过严谨研判之后 才敢拿出这笔巨款压住 于爱华那句话放在这最合适 当时合肥不伸手 未来大概率就没了 但换个角度看 要是合肥此前没有在家电面板芯片 成熟的产业布局和长远眼光 就算未来拿着计划书跑断腿 也只会成为第十九个拒绝他的城市