Analysis of Saudi Arabia's Military Alliances

It must be active in this coalition because there is a very important reason

and a fundamental one, which most members of the Arab coalition supported.

Arab. This is the first coalition Saudi Arabia formed, saying the region cannot

bear this talk. In 2015, it could not bear

any more wars because everyone

could become embroiled in a long war of attrition against

a small group in Yemen that has nothing to lose.

Yemen itself, as a country, basically has nothing to lose.

Added to that, we now have two accounts of Bab al-Mandab.

One account says that the strait has been liberated and is now under Saudi

control, so there is no longer any danger to shipping.

That is if we believe the Saudi account. Another account says that the

Houthis still control Bab al-Mandab. And that poses a danger.

So, if Bab al-Mandab is in danger, or rather, if there is no danger to Bab al-

Mandab because it is under Saudi control. And they have already liberated it.

Then why form coalitions and say we all have to come and protect Bab al-Mandab?

This is another important issue. What if new countries join? The alliance

was never activated, neither Pakistan nor Turkey are actually involved because

neither wants to get embroiled in a war or see the region descend into this wider war.

When you add new countries or invite new ones, first activate the countries

already in your alliance that have not acted in the first place.

Moreover, the Arab coalition itself with the UAE has fallen apart.

The UAE is no longer even in this alliance with Saudi Arabia.

So Saudi Arabia finds itself alone and wants new allies.

I don't know why Saudi Arabia is involving itself in more wars

over an issue that could drain it economically. Moreover, what if

the war expands, new allies join, and new countries enter?

Then we'll have another strait closed in the region alongside Hormuz.

The world now wants Hormuz opened and does not want Bab al-Mandab closed as well.

So far, navigation is still safe. It is only closed to Saudi vessels.

What if the Houthis got it into their heads and said, "Well, since you're fighting,

let's shut down Bab al-Mandab, disrupting global shipping and the global economy."

What would all of us in the region gain, not just

the Houthis or Yemen as a Yemeni faction? Everyone would lose.

Do we want to open Hormuz and end the crisis that

Iran and America are creating in the Arab Gulf region,

or do we want to move it to Bab al-Mandab?

But Ms. Mona, if you'll allow me. Do they have—

It's a logical question, but do the Houthis possess all these military capabilities

to force the whole world to accept

their closing Bab al-Mandab after

Iran tries to choke the Strait of Hormuz?

By the way, you don't need F-35 fighter jets

or missiles with nuclear warheads to do

something like that. When the Houthis first blocked shipping

to Israel in the battle to support Gaza, they weren't

even overseeing that area, it wasn't under their control, it was

Under the control of UAE-affiliated forces. Tareq Afash.

Despite that, they were able to threaten shipping and halt American shipping

as well as European and Israeli shipping. Why? Because he

can threaten them with a missile or a drone. The mere announcement

scares insurance companies. It scares shipping companies.

The mere announcement and threat are frightening. That is why you,

with very limited capabilities, this is what the Houthis exploit. They have two things:

They have

limited capabilities, bold decision-making, and the land.

He controls the mountains overlooking Bab al-Mandab

and overlooking the south. Now he controls Taiz.

This is a strategic area. Whoever rules Taiz rules the Arabian Sea and rules

the Red Sea. Therefore, he fights with two things: geography

and bold decision-making. He does not need advanced weapons, even if you gave him weapons

from China, Korea, Iran, or Russia.

What matters more to him than weapons is bold decision-making and geography.

You cannot control the battle in Yemen.

The Egyptian army knows only ground control, not by sea

or air. A ground incursion is necessary. Does Saudi Arabia

and its allies have the capacity for a ground incursion into Houthi areas? This is the question that arises from

2004, from 2004.

An important question, Ms. Mona Safwan.

Dr. Khaled, if a decisive outcome cannot

be achieved except through ground intervention, what if

Saudi Arabia asks Cairo.