Analysis of Ukraine-Russia Conflict

of, uh, February

twenty-two, you say: "In many Ukrainian cities,

the Russian army will be welcomed. I'm one hundred percent sure of it.

A huge mass of people sees the campaign against the

liberal-fascist regime, the launch of the special military operation, and the restoration of Ukrainian

statehood." Two days later, on the third day of fighting across

the territory of Ukraine, it is clear that the war that has been unleashed has little to do

with

fighting Nazi drug addicts.

Maybe there are Na— every country has Nazi

drug addicts,

but the war, apparently, is being fought not so much against them,

as against a large, resistance-ready,

motivated to defend the country, regular

army, in which serve

not only contract soldiers, but mobilized people and those who voluntarily

took up

arms.

And what do you want to know?

How did that happen? Well, th—

Well, because when I saw these images, you know, these columns,

uh,

this 180,000-strong force that was thrown against,

uh, Gotovishch, well, in my-my-my opinion,

straight into a trap.

Uh-huh.

Because, yeah, th— uh,

I still believe, I'm sure, that if the Russian army's entry

had been planned differently, uh,

differently,

uh,

if there hadn't been these strange missile strikes on Kharkiv, for example,

then the results would have been completely different.

But the specific nature of the Ukrainian mentality is that

Ukrainians, they, have a very regional mindset.

And wh-wh-when a foreign army enters

some territory, uh, in eastern Ukraine, by the way,

people ask, "Why did you come, exactly? What for?"

Preparations for the invasion. When I saw that there had been no such preparations

at all and that they were counting on force, I realized it was

serious, sort of—

But you were convinced that, uh, Russian troops would be greeted

with flowers.

Well, I was convinced, yes.

Here’s one of your recent statements, from 2026:

“Ukraine became a trap for us.

We’re really stuck.” What did you mean?

And how do we get out of this trap?

Well, no one expected it to last five years, that it would be a five-year war,

which— in which such

human resources would have to be spent.

Everyone expected that when the army went in, the paratroopers would fly in on

Hostomel, uh, the government in Kyiv will get scared and

run away, and pro-Russian-minded

deputies of the Verkhovna Rada will take power. The plan was clear.

How do we get out of this trap?

Well, a victory now. And how, how else could it be?

By achieving an, uh, acceptable result,

one that would be acceptable.

Now there simply is no other way out.

And what is victory? There, victory. What kind of victory?

Victory is— when some side declares

its victory.

But what would that look like physically? Would we take Kyiv,

would we take Kharkiv, Odesa,

what would we take, what would we annex, so we could say, yes, that's it, we've won,

all the goals

we have accomplished.

When the President of the Russian Federation says, "This is victory,"

then I suggest everyone agree and consider it a victory.

Why?

Well, because other opinions will land you

in prison.

Uh-huh.