Analysis of Israeli Election Results

Unprecedented in a certain sense.

Meaning?

Look, uh, we've been here on many

election nights and the mornings after.

There were days Netanyahu took a beating,

there were days Netanyahu won.

I'd say Netanyahu had more significant victories,

uh, certainly in terms of numbers.

But there has never been anything like this.

Not in the sense that Netanyahu won,

because he doesn't have sixty- one, but in the sense that the bloc

that organized against him was defeated

in a way that— I don't want to say no one

saw it coming, some did, but almost no one did.

And this also makes me think about, uh, a parallel reality that we

have lived in for the past three years.

Because if the polls were wrong by this much,

then perhaps they were also wrong about

the public's demands for a hostage deal,

about the war, uh, about suitability for prime minister.

That is, we lived in some reality that we thought existed,

when in fact there was another reality.

If you look at the vote transfers themselves, almost no

seats moved from Netanyahu's bloc to the change bloc.

The reason for the drop is that Arabs rose at a dramatic rate.

That's one.

Two, because no votes were wasted on Meretz

and Balad, like last time.

And three, because about two and a half

percent were still wasted on the side

of Netanyahu's bloc. Ofer Winter and, um, some

remnants of Noam Leitner and a party of Ethiopian immigrants.

Votes for Yoaz Alica, too.

Yeah, but they aren't necessarily…

It's unclear.

Exactly.

We'll analyze it further.

All things considered, uh, Netanyahu emerges, uh,

from these elections stronger,

and moreover, he has greater room

to maneuver.