English → Portuguese transcript
Sabíamos que a história da ordem internacional baseada em regras era
parcialmente falsa. Que os mais fortes se isentariam quando fosse conveniente.
Que as regras do comércio eram aplicadas de forma assimétrica.
E sabíamos que o direito internacional se aplicava com rigor variável dependendo da
identidade do acusado ou da vítima. Essa ficção foi útil. Uma hegemonia americana
This fiction was useful.
An American hegemony in particular helped provide public goods.
Open sea lanes, a stable financial system, collective security,
e apoio a estruturas para resolver disputas. Então colocamos a placa na vitrine.
So we placed the sign in the window.
Participamos dos rituais. E em grande medida evitamos apontar as
And we largely avoided calling out the gaps between rhetoric and reality.
This bargain no longer works.
Vou ser direto. Estamos no meio de uma ruptura, não de uma transição.
We are in the midst of a rupture, not a transition.
Nas últimas duas décadas, uma série de crises em finanças, saúde,
have laid bare the risks of extreme global integration.
Mas, mais recentemente,
Tarifas como forma de pressão,
viver dentro da mentira do benefício mútuo por meio da integração quando a
integração se torna a fonte da sua subordinação.
End of transcript · 201 words · machine translated
Original transcript (English)
We knew the story of the international rules-based order was partially false. That the strongest would exempt themselves when convenient. That trade rules were enforced asymmetrically. And we knew that international law applied with varying rigor depending on the identity of the accused or the victim.
This fiction was useful. An American hegemony in particular helped provide public goods. Open sea lanes, a stable financial system, collective security, and support for frameworks for resolving disputes. So we placed the sign in the window.
We participated in the rituals. And we largely avoided calling out the gaps between rhetoric and reality. This bargain no longer works. Let me be direct. We are in the midst of a rupture, not a transition.
Over the past two decades, a series of crises in finance, health, energy, and geopolitics have laid bare the risks of extreme global integration. But more recently, great powers have begun using economic integration as weapons. Tariffs as leverage, financial infrastructure as coercion, supply chains as vulnerabilities to be exploited. You cannot live within the lie of mutual benefit through integration
when integration becomes the source of your subordination.
