Transcript · English → Indonesian
Impact of War on Global Economy
Saya rasa ada konsensus bahwa Amerika Serikat telah
mengalami kerusakan parah dan, eh,
eh, kehancuran selama, selama perang,
eh, dengan Iran. Dan saya rasa, eh, eh, kita
telah melihat, eh, berbagai pejabat senior AS,
termasuk pejabat militer, berbicara tentang kehancuran besar
di pangkalan AS, dan biaya, eh, dari, dari, dari
militer AS jelas jauh lebih tinggi daripada yang
telah diakui oleh Hegseth atau, Pentagon
atau pemerintah AS.
Eh, jadi dalam, dalam hal itu, saya, saya rasa tidak ada
banyak ambiguitas. Angka-angkanya, apa pun itu,
sangat, sangat, sangat, sangat signifikan.
Namun, saya rasa biaya tidak langsung perang
bagi dunia dan Amerika Serikat bahkan
jauh lebih besar daripada biaya langsung karena ekonomi global
sedang didorong menuju bencana.
Eh, krisis solar terus berlanjut, dan kini
harga minyak mentah dan, dan produk lain dari
kawasan itu meningkat, eh, terutama setelah
konflik
eh, konflik itu, eh… setelah Saudi membom
Bandar Udara Internasional Sana'a dan, dan peristiwa-peristiwa baru-baru ini
selama beberapa pekan terakhir, antara Yaman
dan Arab Saudi.
Hal ini makin parah.
Dan, eh, tidak ada, eh,
tidak ada alasan untuk percaya bahwa krisis ini akan
eh, mereda, atau malah, makin jelas bahwa
krisis ini akan memburuk. Dan kita harus selalu mengingat
bahwa Amerika Serikat sangat ingin mendapatkan minyak mentah
atau minyak mentah tambahan
dari, eh, Selat Hormuz.
Namun, eh, faktanya produk-produk lain
tidak bisa melintas, artinya, eh,
h- helium dan sulfur dan, dan
lainnya, eh, petrokimia dan produk olahan.
Tiga juta barel bahan bakar olahan
yaitu, yang biasanya diekspor dari wilayah ini
tidak
mencapai pasar global. Jadi setiap hari yang
berlalu, krisis global, eh, meluas dan membesar,
eh, dan tentu saja, ini juga
um, pertanian. Pertanian di seluruh dunia,
sedang, sedang dalam masalah besar karena kita melihat bahwa,
eh, eh,
produk, produk, produk, produk, produk yang dibutuhkan, eh, untuk,
untuk, agar mempertahankan produktivitas
tidak, hanya
sama sekali tidak, eh, keluar dari Selat Hormuz.
Jadi, eh, krisis bertambah parah dari hari ke hari,
dan, eh, pada suatu titik, ini, ini
adalah, Anda tahu, perekonomian global sedang menurun.
Namun, eh, pada suatu titik, itu akan m- perekonomian,
Itu, itu akan jatuh. Itu akan, um, itu,
Ekonomi, ekonomi itu akan terus menurun
dengan sangat cepat, dan
siapa tahu kapan itu akan terjadi.
Jadi itu berarti ekonomi Amerika, sedang,
sedang, sedang, jauh lebih menderita daripada
hanya akibat biaya langsung militer
Amerika Serikat.
End of transcript · 387 words · machine translated
Original transcript (English)
I think there's a consensus that the United States has sustained heavy damage and, uh, uh, destruction during the, the war, uh, with Iran. And I think that, uh, uh, we've seen, uh, various US senior officials,
including military officials, speak of the vast destruction on US bases, and the costs, uh, of, of, of the US military are definitely sig- much higher than that which has been admitted by Hegseth or the, the Pentagon or the US government.
Uh, so in, in that respect, I, I don't think that there is much ambiguity. The, the numbers, whatever they may be, are, are, are, are very significant. But I think the indirect cost of the war for the world and for the United States is even...
is much greater than the direct cost because the global economy is being pushed towards catastrophe. Uh, the, the diesel crisis continues, and now the price of crude oil and, and other products from the region are, are growing, uh, especially after
the, uh, the conflict, uh, the... after the Saudis bombed Sana'a International Airport and the, and the recent e- the events during the recent, recent weeks between Yemen and Saudi Arabia.
This has intensified. And, uh, there, there is no, uh, there's no reason to believe that this crisis is going to, uh, die down, or i- instead, it's- it seems increasingly clear that it's going to get worse. And we have to always keep in mind
that the United States is desperately trying to get crude oil or extra crude oil out of the, uh, Strait of Hormuz. But, uh, the, the fact is that other products are not getting through, meaning, uh,
s- helium and sulfur and, and other, uh, petrochemicals and refined goods. Three million barrels of refined fuel that is, that is usually exported from this region are not
reaching the global market. So every day that goes by, the global crisis, uh, expands and grows, uh, and of course, it's also, um, agriculture. Agriculture across the world is, is, is in deep trouble because we see that,
uh, uh, the, the, the, the, the products needed, uh, for, to, in order to sust-sustain productivity are not, are just simply not, uh, getting out of the Strait of Hormuz.
So, uh, the crisis grows day by day, and, uh, we are at some point, this is, this is, you know, the, the global economy is declining. But, uh, at some point, the, it is going to s- the, the, the, it is going to fall. It is going to, um, it,
the, the economy is just going to go downhill very fast, and who knows when that is going to happen. So that means the American economy is, is being, is being, is suffering much more than
just due to the direct costs of the US military.
