Political Analysis of GOP Candidates

What if JD doesn't run and somebody like a Tulsi,

a Joe Kent, even a

Tucker tries to fill that space and run or a Massey.

Trump will endorse Marco and that'll be it.

All the money, all the political support.

So you don't think, okay, so let's say that happens. I'm very fascinated by this.

And Marco gets the nomination.

Now he's off to the general election and you've got some 18 to 22 of

the Republican base

that hates him, that not maybe him personally, but hates his politics.

And just, they are not

gonna vote for somebody who's gonna back Israel, period, end of report.

And you have somebody come up on the other side who you just described,

Medicare for all,

but they're not saying the really crazy shit like pack the Supreme Court and Puerto

Rico becomes a state.

You know, they're within the lines,

but they're totally anti Israel.

What does the 22 do on team GOP?

Well, first of all, I think Marco would pick a running mate who would soften on

that issue, I think.

And I think he could soften on that issue.

And I don't think that would be dispositive. I will say,

I try my hardest not to underestimate how big this issue is.

But last night, or a few nights ago,

I guess, in the Michigan Senate debate, when Al Saad

said AIPAC literally like more than

a dozen times in the debate, no matter what the question was,

he was like, well, AIPAC's horrible. So I remind myself daily,

every morning I wake up, I'm thankful for my family,

and I say, don't underestimate the power of Israel, the issue of Israel.

But I just don't know that it's going

to be that dispositive for Rubio versus a Democrat if he's the nominee

for those voters that would decide the election.

Maybe I'm wrong. Maybe I'm wrong. Yeah, I'll give you a challenge on that.

I just feel like maybe I'm just surrounded by it more, but Israel's become

such a pariah.

I just think as a politician,

if you're not ready to say no to AIPAC money,

no to backing Israel in its next military endeavor, you're done. But couldn't he

just say, I'm not going to take AIPAC money when I run for president? No,

you have to be able to sell it.

If Marco Rubio said that, that base, that 22 percent would want to hear a lot more.

They'd want to hear why.

Do you get it? Do you get why we've turned so much?

Do you get why the Iran war was a bad

idea? All those things they're going to want to hear.

I'm not sure Marco Rubio, or frankly, J D.,

even on that second question, can sell it all that well.

I think J D.'s got more wiggle room,

though, because he can at least say he didn't back it and he tried to stop it.