Humanoid Robots Could Outproduce Humans Within 10 Years

Nonetheless, um, when you think of humanoid robotics, the way th- th- the way to think about, I th- I, I think the right framework is consider that the usefulness of a humanoid robot, a general purpose robot, is going to be,

um, roughly the, uh, digital, uh, the, the, the AI software. How, how, how good is the AI software times how good is the, uh, AI chip in the robot times how good is the electromechanical dexterity, especially of the hands.

Um, now all three of those things are improving exponentially.

Um, and, and the usefulness of the robot is those, those three things multiplied by each other. Then when you make the robots, the robots will, um, th- th- um, will, will... the ro-robots will start manufacturing the robots, so you get a recursive effect.

Mm. So it, it, it starts off very s- very slowly, but then it grows, um, at an explosive rate.

Um, so if you, if you say like 10 years from now, I would say there are well over a billion humanoid robots.

Wow. Um, and the productivity per robot will be probably five times that of a human.

Meaning, meaning that the productivity in 10 years of humanoid robots, and I think this is a conservative estimate, by the way.

Um, this is, this is one I, I, I w- would be willing to, to put serious money betting on, um, that there will be at least a billion robots in 10 years, and that those robots will be at least five times the output of a human, meaning the, the, the billion humanoid robots will, will,

um, be more productive than all humans combined.