Impact of Starlink on Ukrainian Warfare

One of the key factors enabling Ukrainian units to maintain their combat

effectiveness and superiority in drone warfare has been their use of the

Starlink satellite network, which provides vital,

reliable communications

on the front line.

Anyone who doubts Starlink's importance to the AFU should recall the opening

phase of the Ukrainian conflict. In twenty twenty-two, the lack of

reliable communications, a shortcoming for

which the Russian armed forces are often

criticized, also affected the AFU, contributing to the collapse of the

front in the Kherson and Zaporizhzhia regions.

By the summer of twenty twenty-two, regular deliveries of military aid to

Ukraine, including communications equipment such as

RF5800 radios from the US company Harris

equipped with Citadel encryption module, had enabled the AFU to

establish reliable communications between units at the tactical level.

Although Starlink terminals were relatively scarce in twenty

twenty-two and twenty

twenty-three, their widespread deployment across the AFU

began in

late twenty twenty-three. This provided virtually uninterrupted

communications

both on the front line and deep in the rear,

allowing units to coordinate their

operations in real time and improve their tactical

and operational positions.

Over the next three years, the number of Starlink terminals continued

to grow.

Meanwhile, the failure of the twenty twenty-three

counteroffensive and ammunition

shortages prompted the AFU to revise their tactics, placing

greater emphasis on unmanned systems.

It was then that they began experimenting with fitting Elon Musk's

terminals to UAVs and later, USVs.

By twenty twenty-six, a virtually unlimited supply of Starlink

terminals,

combined with established arrangements for supplying and producing relatively

inexpensive UAVs and USVs, had enabled the AFU

to build a fully integrated reconnaissance and strike network.

Communications through Musk's satellites formed its critical link.

UAVs, including FPV drones, operate over Starlink links.

USVs rely on Starlink as their primary command and control link,

while communications between units also run through the network.

In late twenty twenty-five and early twenty twenty-six,

even the Russian

armed forces demonstrated how effectively Musk's terminals could be used

for military purposes, prompting subsequent restrictions on their

use by Russian

forces.

Communications are a critical element of any war.

Without reliable communications, success is impossible.

Personnel and equipment cannot operate in a coordinated manner, and maneuvers

become disjointed.

The AFU, however, have made their entire communication

system dependent on

Starlink. Alternatives such as OneWeb are also used, but ninety

percent of communications go through the American system.

This dependence reveals the United States' actual role rather than the

one it presents publicly. If the White House wanted to end the war,

it would have

Starlink switched off. The AFU would not collapse

entirely, but imagine ninety percent of their drones

and USVs

suddenly becoming inoperable, panic, and disarray would be inevitable.

Starlink has demonstrated how satellites can serve both civilian and military

purposes. Developing its own low Earth orbit

satellite constellation is

therefore a priority for Russia, as illustrated by the Rassvet

Constellation.

Elon Musk's success offers a model for Russia to emulate through a program

serving

its national interests.

End of transcript · 514 words

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