Estreito de Ormuz: Irã, petróleo do Golfo e o mapa do conflito
É possível que a Rússia e a China também entrem nesta guerra ao lado dos iranianos.
Esta é a Terceira
Guerra Mundial.
Este mapa, mesmo que você não conheça muito bem a guerra,
mesmo que você não conheça os participantes,
mesmo que você não
conheça o armamento,
este mapa vai lhe mostrar exatamente como esta guerra vai
avançar. Certo?
Então algumas
coisas para você
ter em mente
sobre este mapa.
Isto é o que nós chamamos,
esta área, tá,
bem pequena,
mas ela tem 33 quilômetros de largura, tá?
As pessoas conseguem atravessar isso nadando.
É realmente,
realmente, ahm, uh,
estreito, tá?
Esta pequena área,
pessoal, chama- se
Estreito de Hormuz.
Certo?
E é importante porque é
realmente o
centro do mundo.
Esta única área é o nexo,
o pivô do mundo.
Deixe- me explicar por quê.
Em primeiro
lugar, do CCG,
20% de todo o
petróleo do
mundo passa por
este estreito.
Para onde ele
vai, pessoal?
Vai para a Ásia,
Índia, Paquistão,
Coreia do Sul,
China, Japão.
A Índia depende em 60% do
seu petróleo
dessa área.
A China depende em 40%.
O Japão, 75%.
O primeiro- ministro
Takeichi, do Japão,
disse que se o Estreito de Ormuz fechar,
ficamos sem petróleo
em cerca de oito,
nove meses.
Toda a economia japonesa entraria em colapso em oito,
nove meses se o Estreito de Ormuz viesse a fechar.
E adivinhem só?
Os iranianos fecharam o
Estreito de Ormuz.
Tudo bem?
Então podemos
esperar que toda a
economia global
sofra muito
nos próximos
meses. Certo?
Então esse é o
ponto número um.
O ponto número
dois é, ok,
o CCG envia
petróleo através do
Estreito de Ormuz,
e o que eles
recebem em troca?
Comida, galera.
Certo, então as pessoas não valorizam o GCC,
mas ele é realmente a pedra angular do
império americano.
Porque o que é o império americano?
O império americano é o petrodólar. Certo?
A ideia do petrodólar é
a seguinte:
o dólar americano não vale nada.
Ele só tem valor
se as pessoas
o quiserem.
Mas o GCC diz que,
se você quiser
petróleo de nós,
você tem que
nos pagar em dólares
americanos. Certo?
Então essa é a base
do valor do
dólar americano.
Então, se o
GCC colapsa,
a economia americana e o
império americano
colapsam ao
mesmo tempo.
O problema, porém,
é que o GCC é uma construção artificial
do império.
Ele não existe
naturalmente.
Por quê? Porque não
tem comida,
não tem petróleo…
não tem água.
Certo, gente?
Sem comida, sem água.
Então essas cidades
conseguem crescer
para milhões
por causa de
todos esses
petrodólares entrando.
Se você fechar o Estreito de Ormuz,
não entra comida, certo?
Todos eles vão morrer de fome.
Quanta comida o CCG
recebe de fora?
80%.
80% de toda a comida
que consome
vem de fora,
que ele importa.
Não cresce por si só,
ele importa.
Certo?
Então o Estreito de Ormuz
é realmente
fundamental.
E, de novo, os iranianos vão fechá- lo para estrangular a
economia global e,
assim, levar o
império americano
à falência.
Certo. A segunda coisa
que você vai notar são
essas montanhas.
Essas montanhas
é o que chamamos de Irã.
Certo, isto é o Irã.
Isto é o CCG.
Certo, isso não
é uma disputa justa, né?
Porque isso aqui
são montanhas.
E o que você pode fazer em montanhas?
Você pode esconder bases de foguetes.
Você pode esconder bases de drones.
Você pode esconder mísseis.
E essa é toda a
estratégia ofensiva
iraniana. Certo?
A partir daqui,
eles podem esconder
mísseis e drones a
partir dos quais
atacar o CCG.
E o que eles
estão atacando?
Eles estão atacando, hum,
três coisas, certo?
Eles estão atacando
bases militares
americanas.
Bases militares
americanas.
Isso é a número um. Certo?
É possível para os americanos se defenderem contra esses ataques?
A resposta é não!
Eles não estão... não está!
É a coisa mais boba do mundo.
Você tem todas essas bases no Oriente Médio,
mas não consegue defendê- las contra os iranianos.
Isso é meio estranho.
Certo, mas isso é a número um.
Número dois
é petróleo e energia.
Quão difícil é
explodir um campo
de petróleo
com um drone?
Não é nada difícil.
Você consegue defender
esses campos
de petróleo?
Não, você não
consegue. Certo?
Número três,
e esse é o mais
importante,
é a água. Certo?
Vocês não sabem disso,
mas o CCG tem
pouco acesso
a água doce.
Então, a única forma de produzir água
é o que chamamos de usinas de dessalinização, certo?
Essas fábricas que pegam água salgada e,
por meio de um processo eletroquímico,
a transformam em água doce para a população usar.
60% do abastecimento de
água no CCG vem
de usinas de
dessalinização,
certo? 60%.
É difícil explodir uma usina de
dessalinização usando um drone?
A resposta é: é
muito fácil.
Entenderam.
Certo? Então você tem essa situação absurda
em que o Irã é uma fortaleza nas montanhas onde ele pode esconder sua
capacidade ofensiva,
e o CCG, é só
esse deserto,
esse deserto plano,
e ele fica exposto a
ataques e não há
nada que ele
possa fazer
a respeito.
Certo? Então,
em qualquer momento
desta guerra,
os iranianos
podem escolher
simplesmente
destruir todo o CCG e
não há nada
que ninguém
possa fazer
a respeito.
Certo. Mas o Irã
também tem uma
fraqueza, certo?
E isso é fundamental.
Então o Irã
também tem um
problema de
água, certo?
Por muito tempo,
eles sofreram
com uma seca.
Certo?
Só mudança climática.
E então, qual é o plano de israelenses e
americanos?
É destruir o
suprimento de água
dos iranianos.
Porque a fortaleza…
é uma fortaleza
de montanha,
mas ela também pode
ser uma prisão
de montanha
onde as pessoas
ficam presas
lá dentro sem
acesso à água.
Certo? Então,
o que vamos ver agora,
nós já estamos
vendo ataques à
infraestrutura civil,
a hospitais.
No futuro, vocês
verão ataques ao
abastecimento de água,
a represas,
aos reservatórios,
às usinas de energia.
A questão, a ideia é
tornar o Irã tão
inabitável que o
povo terá de se
rebelar contra o
povo ou haverá
uma crise de
refugiados no Irã.
Certo? Então,
como podem ver
neste mapa,
esta guerra,
é o fim do mundo. Certo?
Ambos os lados têm
o potencial de
se destruir.
É realmente
uma questão de
até onde eles querem ir. Tudo bem?
Também podemos dizer que isso é quase um jogo de covardia. Certo?
Nós podemos explodir…
podemos explodir uns
aos outros.
Até onde você quer ir?
E o problema é este.
O problema é que
os iranianos
são xiitas,
que acreditam
no martírio.
E vocês mataram o líder religioso deles,
o aiatolá Khamenei.
Então eles estão dispostos a ir muito,
muito longe.
Os países do CCG são muçulmanos,
mas são materialistas.
Eles amam dinheiro.
E, além disso, a maior parte da população são expatriados,
estrangeiros.
90% de Dubai são
estrangeiros.
Adivinhem o que vai
acontecer se
eles sofrerem?
Eles vão fugir.
Certo? Então
isso não é um
confronto justo.
A grande pergunta que as
pessoas têm é,
antes de tudo,
os americanos vão
usar tropas
terrestres?
Porque a única maneira de derrotar o Irã é usando tropas terrestres, certo?
Essa é uma grande questão que vamos analisar nas próximas semanas.
Os Estados Unidos vão enviar seu exército, meio milhão,
dois milhões de soldados para derrubar o governo?
Certo, essa é a pergunta número um.
Pergunta número dois:
armas nucleares.
Se você estiver perdendo uma guerra,
escolheria usar armas nucleares?
Certo? Essa é outra grande questão que nós temos, certo?
Outra grande
questão que
nós temos é:
quem se envolve?
Porque essa
situação é tão
grave que a Europa, certo,
especificamente Alemanha,
França e Reino Unido estão falando em entrar nessa guerra.
E adivinha?
Se isso acontecer,
é possível que Rússia e
China também
entrem nessa
guerra do lado
dos iranianos.
Esta é a Terceira
Guerra Mundial.
Certo? Por causa da
importância do
Estreito de Ormuz,
por causa da importância do
Oriente Médio.
End of transcript · 1,333 words · machine translated
Transcrito e traduzido com TranslateMom. Cole o link de qualquer vídeo para obter legendas e uma transcrição no seu idioma.
Original transcript (English)
It is possible that Russia and China will also enter this war on the side of the Iranians. This is World War III. This map, even if you don't really know the war, even if you don't know the participants, This map, even if you don't really know the war, even if you don't know the participants, even if you don't know the weaponry, this map will tell you exactly how this war will progress.
even if you don't know the weaponry, this map will tell you exactly how this war will progress. All right? So some certain things to keep in mind about this map. All right? So some certain things to keep in mind about this map. This is what we call, this area, okay, really small but it's 33 kilometers wide, okay? This is what we call, this area, okay, really small but it's 33 kilometers wide, okay?
This is what we call, this area, okay, really small but it's 33 kilometers wide, okay? People can swim across it. It's really, really, um, uh, narrow, okay? This small area, guys, it's called the Strait of Hormuz. This small area, guys, it's called the Strait of Hormuz. This small area, guys, it's called the Strait of Hormuz.
All right? All right? And it's important because it's really the center of the world. This one area is the nexus, the pivot of the world. Let me explain why.
First of all, from the GCC, you have 20% of all the world's oil flowing through this narrow strait. First of all, from the GCC, you have 20% of all the world's oil flowing through this narrow strait. Where does it go, guys? It goes to Asia, India, Pakistan, South Korea, China, Japan. Where does it go, guys? It goes to Asia, India, Pakistan, South Korea, China, Japan. India depends on 60% of its oil from this area.
India depends on 60% of its oil from this area. China depends on 40%. Japan, 75%. China depends on 40%. Japan, 75%. Prime Minister Takeichi of Japan has said that, Prime Minister Takeichi of Japan has said that,
listen, if the Strait of Hormuz closes, we run out of oil in about eight, nine months. The entire Japanese economy would collapse in eight, nine months if the Strait of Hormuz were to close. The entire Japanese economy would collapse in eight, nine months if the Strait of Hormuz were to close. And guess what? The Iranians have closed the Strait of Hormuz. And guess what? The Iranians have closed the Strait of Hormuz.
Okay? Okay? So we can expect that the entire global economy will suffer greatly over the next few months. So we can expect that the entire global economy will suffer greatly over the next few months. All right? So that's point number one.
All right? So that's point number one. Point number two is, okay, so the GCC sends oil across the Strait of Hormuz, Point number two is, okay, so the GCC sends oil across the Strait of Hormuz, Point number two is, okay, so the GCC sends oil across the Strait of Hormuz, and what do they get back in return? Food, guys.
and what do they get back in return? Food, guys. All right, so people don't appreciate the GCC, but it is really the linchpin of the American empire. All right, so people don't appreciate the GCC, but it is really the linchpin of the American empire. Because what is the American empire? The American empire is the petrodollar. Because what is the American empire? The American empire is the petrodollar.
All right? The idea of the petrodollar is this: the US dollar is worth nothing. It's only valuable if people want it. It's only valuable if people want it. But the GCC says that if you want oil from us, you have to pay us in US dollars. But the GCC says that if you want oil from us, you have to pay us in US dollars.
But the GCC says that if you want oil from us, you have to pay us in US dollars. Okay? Then that is the basis of the value of the US dollar. Okay? Then that is the basis of the value of the US dollar. So, if the GCC collapses, the American economy and the American empire both collapse at the same time. So, if the GCC collapses, the American economy and the American empire both collapse at the same time.
So, if the GCC collapses, the American economy and the American empire both collapse at the same time. The problem though is the GCC is an artificial construct of empire. It does not exist naturally. The problem though is the GCC is an artificial construct of empire. It does not exist naturally. The problem though is the GCC is an artificial construct of empire. It does not exist naturally. Why? Because it has no food, it has no oil... no water. Okay guys? No food, no water.
Why? Because it has no food, it has no oil... no water. Okay guys? No food, no water. So these cities are able to grow up in the millions because of all these petrodollars flowing in. If you close off the Strait of Hormuz, there's no food coming in, right? They're all gonna starve. How much food does the GCC get from overseas? 80%. 80% of all the food it consumes comes from overseas, that it imports.
80% of all the food it consumes comes from overseas, that it imports. It does not grow by itself, it imports. All right? So the Strait of Hormuz is really key. And again, the Iranians will close it So the Strait of Hormuz is really key. And again, the Iranians will close it Second thing you will notice is these mountains. These mountains is what we call Iran.
Second thing you will notice is these mountains. These mountains is what we call Iran. Second thing you will notice is these mountains. These mountains is what we call Iran. All right, this is Iran. This is GCC. All right, this is Iran. This is GCC. Okay, this is not a fair matchup, right? Because these are mountains.
Okay, this is not a fair matchup, right? Because these are mountains. And what can you do in mountains? You can hide rocket bases. You can hide drone bases. You can hide missiles. And what can you do in mountains? You can hide rocket bases. You can hide drone bases. You can hide missiles. And that's the entire Iranian offensive strategy. All right? And that's the entire Iranian offensive strategy. All right?
And that's the entire Iranian offensive strategy. All right? From here, they can hide missiles and drones from which to attack the GCC. From here, they can hide missiles and drones from which to attack the GCC. And what are they attacking? They're attacking, um, three things, right? And what are they attacking? They're attacking, um, three things, right?
And what are they attacking? They're attacking, um, three things, right? They're attacking American military bases. American military bases. That's number one. American military bases. That's number one. Okay? Is it possible for the Americans to defend against these attacks? The answer is no!
They're not... it's not! It's the silliest thing in the world. They're not... it's not! It's the silliest thing in the world. They're not... it's not! It's the silliest thing in the world. You have all these bases in the Middle East, but you cannot defend them against the Iranians. That's kind of strange. Okay, but that's number one. Number two is oil and energy.
Okay, but that's number one. Number two is oil and energy. How hard is it to blow up an oil field with a drone? Not hard at all. How hard is it to blow up an oil field with a drone? Not hard at all. How hard is it to blow up an oil field with a drone? Not hard at all. Can you defend these oil fields? No, you cannot. All right?
Can you defend these oil fields? No, you cannot. All right? Number three, and this is most important, is water. Number three, and this is most important, is water. Okay? You guys don't know this, but the GCC has little access to fresh water. Okay? You guys don't know this, but the GCC has little access to fresh water.
So the only way that it can produce water is what we call desalination plants, okay? So the only way that it can produce water is what we call desalination plants, okay? These factories that take salt water and then through an electrical chemical process turn it into fresh water for the population to use. 60% of the water supply in the GCC comes from desalination plants, okay? 60%. Is it hard to blow up a desalination plant using a drone? The answer is, it's very easy. You understand.
Is it hard to blow up a desalination plant using a drone? The answer is, it's very easy. You understand. Okay? So you have this absurd situation where Iran is a mountain fortress Okay? So you have this absurd situation where Iran is a mountain fortress and the GCC, it's just this desert, this flat desert, and it is exposed to attack and the GCC, it's just this desert, this flat desert, and it is exposed to attack
and there's nothing it can do about it. Okay? and there's nothing it can do about it. Okay? So at any point in this war, the Iranians can choose to just destroy the entire GCC So at any point in this war, the Iranians can choose to just destroy the entire GCC and there's nothing that anyone can do about it.
and there's nothing that anyone can do about it. Okay. But Iran also has a weakness, okay? And this is fundamental. Okay. But Iran also has a weakness, okay? And this is fundamental. So Iran also has a water problem, okay? So for the longest time, they suffered a drought issue. So Iran also has a water problem, okay? So for the longest time, they suffered a drought issue.
Okay? Just climate change. Okay? Just climate change. Okay? Just climate change. And so, what the plan of the Israelis and Americans is, is to destroy the water supply of the Iranians. Because the fortress... it is a mountain fortress, but it can also be a mountain prison as well
Because the fortress... it is a mountain fortress, but it can also be a mountain prison as well Because the fortress... it is a mountain fortress, but it can also be a mountain prison as well where people are trapped inside with no access to water. where people are trapped inside with no access to water. Okay? So what we're going to see right now, we're already seeing attacks on civilian infrastructure, hospitals.
Okay? So what we're going to see right now, we're already seeing attacks on civilian infrastructure, hospitals. Okay? So what we're going to see right now, we're already seeing attacks on civilian infrastructure, hospitals. In the future, you will see attacks on water supply, on dams, on reservoirs, on power plants. In the future, you will see attacks on water supply, on dams, on reservoirs, on power plants. In the future, you will see attacks on water supply, on dams, on reservoirs, on power plants.
The point, the idea is to make Iran so uninhabitable that the people will have to rebel against the people The point, the idea is to make Iran so uninhabitable that the people will have to rebel against the people or there'll be a refugee crisis in Iran. Okay? or there'll be a refugee crisis in Iran. Okay? So as you can see from this map, this war, it is the end of the world.
So as you can see from this map, this war, it is the end of the world. Okay? Both sides have the potential to destroy each other. It's really a question of how far do they want to go. All right? We can also say this is almost a game of chicken. Okay? We can blow... we can blow each other up. How far do you want to go? And the problem is this. The problem is that the Iranians are Shia, which believes in martyrdom.
And you've killed their religious leader, the Ayatollah Khamenei. So they're willing to go very, very far. And you've killed their religious leader, the Ayatollah Khamenei. So they're willing to go very, very far. The GCC countries are Muslim, but they're materialistic. They love money. And also, most of the population are expatriates, foreigners. The GCC countries are Muslim, but they're materialistic. They love money. And also, most of the population are expatriates, foreigners. 90% of Dubai are foreigners. Guess what's going to happen if they suffer? They're going to run away.
90% of Dubai are foreigners. Guess what's going to happen if they suffer? They're going to run away. 90% of Dubai are foreigners. Guess what's going to happen if they suffer? They're going to run away. Okay? So this is not a fair matchup. Okay? So this is not a fair matchup. Okay? So this is not a fair matchup.
The big question that people have is, first of all, are the Americans going to use ground troops? Because the only way that you can defeat Iran is by using ground troops, okay? That's a big question we'll look at over the next few weeks. Because the only way that you can defeat Iran is by using ground troops, okay? That's a big question we'll look at over the next few weeks. Will America send its army, half a million, two million soldiers to topple the government? Okay, that's question number one. Question number two: nuclear weapons.
If you're losing a war, would you choose to use nuclear weapons? Okay? That's another big question that we have, okay? Another big question that we have is who gets involved? Because this situation is so dire Another big question that we have is who gets involved? Because this situation is so dire that Europe, okay, specifically Germany, France, and Britain are talking about entering this war. that Europe, okay, specifically Germany, France, and Britain are talking about entering this war.
And guess what? If that happens, it is possible that Russia and China will also enter this war on the side of the Iranians. If that happens, it is possible that Russia and China will also enter this war on the side of the Iranians. This is World War III. Okay? This is World War III. Okay?
This is World War III. Okay? Because of the importance of the Strait of Hormuz, because of the importance of the Middle East. Because of the importance of the Strait of Hormuz, because of the importance of the Middle East.
