Trading Strategies and Market Analysis

Silver Bullet Trade, ICT, is a setup that will form every

single day, and what you're looking for is between ten o'clock New York

local time and eleven o'clock New York local time.

There will be a displacement in a direction that you should

be anticipating. Once that displacement occurs,

you're waiting for a fair value

gap to form. When it does, you're gonna be expecting

that to be traded into

and then repriced to a pool of liquidity that would be opposing

your entry. For instance, what we're outlining here,

we've already seen,

you know, a small minor delivery of it.

I mean, it's been five handles or so since that.

But the, the expectation is for you to anticipate this

formation in price every trading day.

Every single trading day it will form, which is why I call it Silver Bullet.

It's a move that will always be there.

They will never be able to hide it from you.

They're never gonna be able to change it. Nothing's gonna change it.

It's always gonna be there. There's never any reason for you to doubt

that it won't

exist. Okay? And it's also a way to train yourself

patience, teaching yourself patience, sticking to a model and some

rule-based ideas. And those being you're looking for five

handles. That's it. If we are looking at a time window,

very specific time window, sixty minutes, okay?

Inside of one hour... I know you're already gonna ask,

"Why does it

only work in ten and eleven o'clock?" Well, that's the

morning session Silver Bullet. But between ten o'clock

and eleven o'clock, what

you're looking at is the last

portion of the, the move that's gonna unfold just for

that AM session, and you're right in the heart of

that move.

And fair value gaps are generally forming

after a move begins. There's an inception of a move

that you missed.

That's like selling short above old highs. You didn't get in it.

You, you weren't able to do that, but you don't need that like I

was teaching with

the twenty twenty-two model. You don't need that to be able to do

consistent setups. Between ten o'clock and eleven o'clock, you are

in the heart of the AM session move, which is essentially between eight

thirty in the morning to eleven o'clock.

It can go as far as noon, the beginning of New York lunch hour,

but it's again, a graduated thing in terms of time.

There are macros that exist in price where between nine

fifty

and ten ten, in that twenty-minute period, generally you're

gonna see a price run that begins within

that twenty-minute span.

There's people out there trying to teach my stuff already, and they're already

trying to say the move happens between nine fifty

and ten ten. You're already doing it wrong,

so stop trying to teach my stuff.

The move begins in those twenty minutes.

It's not the entirety of... I mean, obviously it can.

In a fast move or a fast market it can do that, but what you're looking

for is a run that begins between

nine fifty and ten ten. That's the macro.

It starts doing its run between those two time

windows. There's another macro that exists at ten fifty and

eleven ten. There's two macros that start in those

two, in those two hours. The Silver Bullet is specific to the ten

o'clock till eleven o'clock hour, and what we're looking for is an

obvious pool of liquidity that has not been tapped into or

engaged. You're not demanding that you capture the

daily range. You're not demanding that it goes to

your technical target. You're only expecting it to

give you your five handles. Big paradigm shift there because a lot of

you

also are taking this idea and trying to make more of it than it

really

is. Will there be times when that move is a significant high or low of the day

and it just keeps on running? Yes. Yes.

But in the beginning, you don't know when those are gonna be there.

You don't know what that criteria is to cause that.

Case in point, fair value gap, I told you that we extend that forward.

When it was bumping up on the bottom of that here,

I was looking at the five-minute

chart. I thought it was a one-minute chart 'cause I

was busy talking to you.

I said I would go short there with the expectation of run lower.

If you see that price there at seventy-eight and three quarters,

that's better than five handles. Did it take the sell side?

No, but that's the f- that's the structure

that we use for draw on liquidity.

Remember, I teach partials. I teach that you have to pay yourself.

I teach you that it's just a way for you to frame your

expectations on where the price should gravitate to.

To go back up to a five-minute chart real quick.

So here's the, the low I was an- anticipating a draw to.

Fair value gap here on the five-minute chart as it went up into there.

So as we hit that, if it were not seeing these relative equal lows

here,

we didn't have the relative equal lows, it was just one singular low,

that would be

an aggressive entry for me, and it would be where I told you,

and it delivered

immediately attacking this short-term low. It offered more than five handles.

That would be it. You don't need to be right about your

levels.

You just need to be right about does it offer the range?

Does it offer something better than five handles?

Because if it can move better than five handles, chances are you probably will

get five handles out of it. What do I mean by that?

When we were looking at this fair value gap here and it was bumping up and against

it here, I said, "Okay, if we didn't have the relative equal lows

here

being specifically this low and that low, what was my

apprehension?" Because this could be a run lower, take the

sell side out, and then rip higher and complete that new week opening gap

high

here. It's not a singular low, it's relative equal lows.

So there's gonna be sell side below that.

So they went down below it, yes, but I wanted to see this low taken out.

But an aggressive entry would have been right here. Does it offer five handles?

Sure. Did it get to the sell side? No.

Is it mean... Does it mean rather the, the model's broken? No.

You're operating inside these rules with the expectation that it's gonna

offer you five handles. You might not get it.

It might be an instance where you're watching price and you expect it to do

something like I would... what, what I was looking for,

and it might not deliver it

to you. Between ten o'clock and eleven o'clock, identify liquidity,

find a fair value gap. A fair value gap has to be opposing,

in other

words opposite to the direction that you anticipate the liquidity to be

drawn to. For instance, fair value gap after displacement lower,

we wait for it to trade up into the fair value gap and then trade towards a pool of

liquidity lower in the form of sell side.

If you're bullish, you're looking for the market to trade

higher,

displacement higher, leave a fair value gap below market price,

then trade down to

the fair value gap, and then gravitate towards a pool of

liquidity which

would be buy side that hasn't been engaged yet,

and it has to have

better than five handles in terms of the range from where you think it might get

to. Not that it needs to get there. Remember, I'm teaching you how to

look at price, removing the necessity of being right,

'cause right is not... it's not a destination.

Being correct is not a destination.

Excellence in execution is, and it has a very small

population. The only way you get to be a member of

that is by doing the things

I'm telling you to do and avoid the things I'm telling you to

avoid.