Humanoid Robots and the 20-Year Transition to Abundance
My big concern is this 20-year transition period where
it'll have winners and losers and a lot of disruption.
Uh, and, and, uh, we have to get through that,
um, in order to get to that, that period of abundance.
You think it's 20 years from now?
You know, I picked that as a reasonably safe number.
Uh, there's a variety of milestones.
For example,
humanoid robots, you know, are those, uh, two or
three years away, as some would say, or more like eight years away, as
other people would say. There's not that many people saying that given the
amount of capital and, uh, number of companies,
particularly in China, that are working on that,
there's no notion that it's
unsolvable to have, you know, a hand and fingers and
be able to deliver physical labor at, at, uh,
um, very,
very low cost. And so I could be wrong about
that number. It could be, you know, slightly less or slightly more.
But on that, you know, that order of magnitude, yes, uh,
if we don't choose to
massively slow down or stop, then we
will have robots that can build houses, grow food,
do surgery,
and none of the,
the things that human labor,
uh, provides to the economy will be necessary
for
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