Lula and Netanyahu: Election Polls and Prediction Market Misses

Uh, in, in the last week, which points to the second trend I've

noticed, which is that the polls and prediction markets

aren't right. They're not getting it right.

You know, the pr- polls and the predictions said that, uh,

Lula Inácio da

Silva was gonna lose in Brazil. He ends up winning,

right? Not only does he win, the opposition flees the country.

And in Israel, uh, the exit polls as well as the

pre-election polls were pointing to a Netanyahu defeat,

and yet,

as we said, it was a much better performance for

Netanyahu than anyone

expected. If we-