US-Iran Diplomatic Talks Update
Well, Tehran has provided the US with a list of
conditions for ending the war,
handed to Washington via Qatar.
This is what they include: ending the conflict on all fronts,
including in Lebanon,
and releasing frozen funds estimated at more than $100 billion.
Tehran's also demanding the US lift its blockade of Iranian ports
and stop interfering in Iran's internal affairs.
Our chief US correspondent, Alan Fisher, is standing by at the White House.
But first, let's go to, uh, Toheod Assadi, who's, uh, with us from- in, uh, Tehran.
Good to see you, Toheod. So, Mohsen Naghvi is back in Tehran on his
sixth visit,
as we mentioned. So is Pakistan actively trying to
salvage the stalled US-Iran talks?
Yes, indeed. Iran says diplomatic engagement has been
underway with
the assistance of Qataris and Pakistanis who
are basically mediating the
talks between Washington and Tehran.
And we know that the recent visit is critically important as it
takes place, uh, uh, prior to the UN General
Assembly and prior to the Iranian president, Masoud Pezeshki's
visit to New York. However, we know that the entirety of the
situation is engulfed by two certain elements.
First, the very complicated nature of the issue
and
many knots that need to be untangled when it comes to this
already deteriorated situation between Tehran and
Washington, on the one hand. Also, on the other hand, in Tehran, there is
this, there is this cloud of mistrust pertaining
to any
rapprochement, and that comes from a historical background
and
from the very fact that Iranians are saying they were engaged
in the trajectory of diplomacy not once, not twice,
even thrice, when their country faced this campaign of
unprecedented airstrikes by the Americans and Israelis.
So it's not really easy for Iranians to trust the
trajectory of di- diplomacy under this current circumstance.
While we know that there are many issues when it comes to the
situation at the
Strait of Hormuz when it comes to sanctions,
frozen assets of the country,
the nuclear dossier of the country, Iran's regional relations,
and many more. Whether the two sides can sit down to
resolve
all these issues is something that we have to keep waiting.
And Toheod, given Tehran's, uh, repeated insistence on these
seven conditions to end the war, how is Iran calculating its
leverage against Washington
as all the m- economic and military pressure continues to mount
on Iran?
Well, indeed, it's a very intricate calculation here in
Tehran. First, militarily speaking, we, we just hear this,
uh, posturing and re- rhetoric from the country saying
that there
is readiness for a decisive war. They're saying that in case
of an escalation, that runs the risk of getting beyond the
region and getting into a war of attrition.
So militarily speaking, they're trying to send out a message of
defiance. Yesterday, we've got it from the joint military
headquarters of
Khatam al-Anbia coming out to say that if the United States commits
a mistake, the response, the retaliation is going to be
painful. And in, in the meantime, we know that diplomatically speaking,
the country is trying to leave the doors ajar with
potentiality for further engagement.
But geostrategically speaking, which is perhaps the most
important point of leverage for Tehran, Iran is trying to use the
situation at the Strait of Hormuz and of course the leverage in Yemen when
it comes to Bab el-Mandab as a geostrategic leverage
to, uh, put more pressure upon the United States.
But last, but-- last but not the least, indeed, we have to keep in mind
that economically speaking, Iran is dealing with a sort of
deteriorated situation with high prices, increasing
inflation, and the devaluation of the local currency
all putting
pressure on the ordinary citizens across the country.
Toheod, many thanks for that. Toheod Assadi in Tehran.
Let's, uh, go to our chief US correspondent,
Alan Fisher, who's at the White
House. Uh, Alan, so we know Donald Trump has mentioned
he's, uh, he's
game to sit down with the Iranian president on the sidelines of the UN
General
Assembly, uh, kicking off in New York.
Just how badly does he need to secure a deal here?
Well, I think there's an acceptance that this is going to end with a
diplomatic
solution rather than a military solution, even though Donald Trump is keeping all
his options open and saying that a big strike on Iran could be
just days away. He said at the weekend he
was open to meeting
the Iranian president, and this administration has, in its
previous iteration and also this time round,
been willing to meet with
people that before former US governments just would never have sat down
with. You're thinking of the Taliban, North Korea, uh, a- and even Hamas,
uh, more recently. So the idea of Donald Trump sitting with
the Iranian
president isn't as bizarre as many people think.
Now, Donald Trump is also going to meet with
the leaders of the Gulf Cooperation
Council. A lot of them have conduits to the
Iranians.
The Qataris, in fact, have acted, acted as mediators.
Donald Trump would like a deal. There is no doubt about that.
He would like to be able to say he secured the fact that Iran will never have a
nuclear weapon, and he's aware because he said it several
times,
as soon as the war ends, then the price of oil will come down, and
that will be impacting, uh, the US economy in general.
So would he like a deal? Yes. Is it likely to come with a
pull aside at the United Nations General Assembly in the next couple of
days if he manages to meet the Iranian president?
Probably not, because there's a lot more detail to be
worked out than they could
manage in a very short conversation.
But it shows that Donald Trump is open to these conversations,
but he's also reserving the right to go back to a military strike
if he thinks that will force the Iranians to the negotiating table again.
Uh, and talking about conversations, um, Alan, reports of back channel
discussions between Washington and the Houthis.
Do we actually know about what's going on here?
Well, if you go back to when Donald Trump
was in Ireland just a week ago, he said
that they were having conversations with the Houthis.
"The Houthis called us, and they don't want to fight us." Now,
that
becomes important because we know that Mohammed bin Salman,
the Crown Prince of
Saudi Arabia, has asked the United States on a number of
occasions to
launch attacks against Houthi positions.
Now, according to some reports here in the
United States, after a phone call on
Thursday, Donald Trump had flipped his position
and after being against the
strikes, was very much in favor, and in fact, ordered military
chiefs to line up a list of targets, and even some planes had
started to be loaded. But he pulled the plug on that on Sunday.
Now, no confirmation from the White House on
that in the last couple of
hours. Uh, but it perhaps suggests that Donald Trump is willing to
hear what the Houthis have to say and not open a second front
up in the Middle East at a time when his war with Iran is
already incredibly unpopular with most American voters.
And so, yeah, there, there, there could be back channel conversations.
Donald Trump says they're talking directly.
As I said, this administration is not averse to speaking
to people, particularly if it thinks it can deliver a deal for the
American
people, and particularly if that deal makes Donald Trump look good.
Understood. Alan Fisher, many thanks for that.
Our chief US correspondent there at the White House.
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