Analysis of Viktor Orban's Speech

Well, today I saw Viktor Orban give his speech

at the Tusványos Conference in Transylvania, in Romania.

Tusványos is a part of Romania,

which is a spiritual home for Hungary.

You might not know it, even though it is in Romania,

this area of Romania only became part of Romania in 1920,

after World War I,

after the Treaty of Trianon,

when Hungary lost two-thirds of land mass

to other countries,

so Slovakia effectively, Romania, anyway, Ukraine, all these things.

So he gave his speech there, and I listened to it today,

and while I agreed with some of the things that he said,

many of the things that he said, there was a big elephant in the room that he decided not to touch.

So he started off with a little bit of a joke

about how he always thought it was weird that in American politics

they gave psychological exams to presidential candidates to ensure that they are fit for office,

and how Americans obviously know what they're doing,

and he was inferring that Peter Magyar obviously has a psychological problem.

However, of course, you know, I take issue with that,

because somehow Joe Biden managed to pass this psychological test,

and he was effectively a vegetable at the time, so who knows about that.

He spoke about how in Hungary things are changing, things have changed a lot,

that Europe, Brussels has effectively won the elections here in Hungary.

He was talking about Hungary perhaps is going to be a seat of neo-communism.

I don't know how accurate that is,

but the elephant in the room, the topic that he decided not to touch,

was one of the main reasons

that Fidesz lost, and lost big at the last election, and that is to do with cronyism,

and that is to do with corruption.

And honestly, until Fidesz stares, looks in the mirror and actually tells people,

you know what, we did a really bad job by handing out free money, do-nothing jobs to friends of friends.

We did a really bad job with allowing effectively cronyism here, there and everywhere.

We did a very bad job in installing middle managers where no middle managers were needed just so they could draw a paycheck.

We did a very bad job in using public funds for allowing people who are either in Fidesz or friends of Fidesz to use public funds for personal gain.

He didn't say any of that. He totally ignored that and that's a big mistake.

I say this as someone who doesn't think that Fidesz has a future.

I think Fidesz died on the night that they lost the election, maybe died actually a year before that.

We know that Viktor Orban, at least if we listen to what he says and believe what he says, at the party election,

party conference that Fidesz held a few months ago he said that he's only going to be in politics for another year and then he's gone so Fidesz needs to look around and find a leader.

However,

some of the things that he said that are true, you know, in Hungary,

we have gone from being what many people I think on TISA argued for, that we were just a Fidesz country, that only Fidesz counts.

The coin has flipped and we're even more extremely just a one-party state now.

So, you know, you can talk about democracy and you can talk about rule of law until you're blue in the can

do everything and one party has made it clear publicly that they want to eliminate any opposition.

And by opposition I mean remnants of Fidesz.

They've said this, that's why they went after President Suhjok, you know, a man who effectively just signs papers and opens hospitals.

Actually two days ago, or maybe even yesterday, Peter Magyar posted and he said that it's not enough to take out the Fidesz top dogs in institutions,

we have to take out the second and third ranked people with Fidesz ties.

So, if this isn't just political

elimination of an opposition, I don't know what is.

Now, if I was in France or in Germany,

you know, I'd be looking here and looking at Peter Magyar as, wow, you're the symbol of how things need to be done.

Now, we know that Peter Magyar is effectively enacting

Donald Tusk's playbook from Poland, but doing it in a much more extreme way.

But imagine,

I mean, France and Macron, they're desperately trying to get rid of Marine Le Pen.

How can they get rid of her? The only way they can get rid of her is with lawfare,

to try her, put her on trial for something and hope that they can make it stick so she legally can't run.

What are politicians doing in Germany? They're effectively doing something with the AFD.

They are trying to make it illegal in any way that they can for them to run.

And they must be looking at Peter Mugger and going,

damn, if only we had a supermajority can just change our constitution, how easy would our life be?

We'd be set for life.

You know,

you know, you could be a Tissot fan or a Fidesz fan, but the Lex Orban is a law only about one man to prevent him from running.

The law about only being an MP for 12 years,

that only affects Fidesz politicians.

So these are laws designed to get people to run.

And I say this as someone who thinks the Fidesz

has absolutely no chance of winning.

So I don't even understand why it was needed.

But this is just sort of a safeguard,

you know, just in case, you know, it

sort of reminds me a little bit about

when you watch a mafia film

and some guy is caught and he's in prison and,

you know, he's promised, well, I'm not going to say anything.

And he's never said anything.

You know, he's been a good mafia person for the last 25 years.

Then the other mafia people outside say,

yeah, he's been a great guy, but we should just kill him anyway.

And that's a little bit of my feeling here.

Actually, speaking of the mafia,

after this speech given by the Tuschwangers by Viktor Ban,

Peter Magyar, our prime minister, responded and said something I'm paraphrasing,

something along the lines of, you know, who cares what a failed mafia leader says? It's

irrelevant. So which tells you the level of animosity we have.

I think you just can't actually, unless you're here, I

don't think you can even imagine the level of animosity

there is from TISA towards Fidesz and the TISA supporters.

All the people who were complaining a year ago saying

it's totally not OK the way Hungary is, that there's one party doing everything.

They are the same people who are turning around saying

it's absolutely great that there's only one party doing something.

But that's life, I suppose, and that's politics.

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