Impact of Digital Assets on US Dollar
Over the years, this gathering has aimed to bring together
different perspectives
to better understand the forces shaping the dollar's central role in the global
financial system.
Last year's conference, for instance, was focused on global investor
allocation to US safe assets and their liquidity in a
time of geopolitical and technological change.
This year, we are here to discuss the implications of
financial innovations,
especially digital assets such as one of my favorite things, stablecoins,
for the international roles of the US dollar.
One striking feature of these discussions has been how rapidly
the underlying questions have evolved since the first conference in this series.
While the traditional drivers of the central role of the US dollar in the
global
monetary system, from the size, strength, and depth of the US economy
and financial markets to trust in US institutions and rule of
law remain critically important today, the environment around
these drivers is changing rapidly.
Technological innovation is increasingly altering how households
and businesses
interact with US dollars,
whether it is through holding new types of assets or through
changes to the payment rails by which dollar-denominated
assets are transferred, intermediated, and settled.
Distributed ledger technologies and tokenized assets such as stablecoins
are
creating new channels for global dollar intermediation that operate
alongside or sometimes in conjunction with traditional banking and
payment systems.
As a result, the dollar's international role
is also evolving.
The private sector is moving rapidly to expand access to
dollar-denominated
assets, innovate in new financial services, and
explore potential business opportunities that perhaps did not make
sense with legacy technologies.
In doing so, there will be compliments to the
traditional financial sector,
and there will also be areas of competition, which is good.
As an economist, I believe that is a good thing.
More competition generally leads to better outcomes for both consumers and society
as a whole.
The papers presented at this year's conference collectively highlight
how broad and multidimensional the integration of new technologies into the
global
financial architecture has become.
Let me briefly outline the key research themes you will encounter over the next
two
days.
A set of papers examines the transformation of payment systems
and foreign
exchange markets through stablecoin and blockchain-based financial
infrastructure,
documenting the rapid growth of stablecoin-based transactions,
decentralized foreign exchange trading, and alternative cross-border
payment rails.
Other papers study spillovers from stablecoin adoption into broader financial
markets.
These papers test whether stablecoin flows can affect exchange rates,
dollar funding conditions, covered interest rate parity deviations,
and
cross-border capital movements.
A major theme of the conference concerns the relationship between
stablecoins and US safe assets.
Some papers explore how dollar-backed stablecoins may create a new
channel linking global liquidity demand directly to US
Treasury markets.
Finally, a couple of papers revisit classic
international finance
question through the lens of digital innovation,
asking whether stablecoins may reinforce the dollar's global role by
extending access to dollar-denominated instruments worldwide, or
whether they may introduce new tensions into the international monetary
system by changing the nature of financial intermediation,
safe asset demand, and cross-border capital flows.
We are very fortunate to have an outstanding set of papers of participants
helping us think through these issues over the next two days.
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