Gold Market Analysis and Trends
Is gold headed back to all-time highs?
Well, it's making good progress so far, recapturing the twenty, the fifty,
and even now testing the one hundred-day moving average.
With the two hundred-day moving average just above around the forty-five hundred
level, could gold be setting up for a larger
scale
breakout and maybe getting out of this long-term downtrend that we've been
in since the beginning of twenty twenty-six, and maybe catching a bid back
towards those all-time highs? And while all-time highs might seem like a
faraway move, let's just remember how quickly
when gold wants to get
going, it really can. Between twenty twenty-three and twenty
twenty-five, during the October lows, we saw gold rally
by two hundred-plus percent at the peak to trough.
So to get back to all-time highs, we'd just be looking at about a
twenty-seven
to twenty-eight percent rally in the price of gold.
Definitely a meaningful move higher, but also certainly possible when we
kind of pull back here and look at the broader theme.
The question now becomes: Are we still in a secular
longer-term metals market rally or has that ship
sailed? And I think that if you think gold can continue,
a retest of the
all-time highs may be closer than we think.
This week, we saw cooler than expected inflation
reports, which put some
pause on whether or not the Fed is going to hike interest rates
aggressively.
I think that they are probably not going to.
The dollar's weakening up a little bit.
And we also saw a poor jobs report round last week.
So all of that combined tells me that I think that we could see
continued rally in this, uh, breakout that we're finally seeing
taking place. Now, this is a weekly time chart,
and you can see that for the first
time in a while, we've actually got a weekly candle looking
very
green that actually is showing some follow-through.
And back to the daily chart. If we can get back above
that two hundred moving
average, that would put us back in what I believe
to be a
longer term upward trend, and that would make the rally even
stronger in my personal view. Let me know what you guys think.
Is this one big sell the rally opportunity or is the
gold bull trend back? By the way, I mentioned some fundamental analysis
components in there, talking about inflation and jobs.
And if you wanna learn more about that, I actually have a free course on how to do
just that. It is actually free. Just comment the word "course" down below
and I'll
send it over.
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