Analysis of the Russia-Ukraine War

Russia is unable to win this war

that Russia has the capability to defeat

the Ukrainian army in the eastern part of Ukraine

and conquer a huge slice of territory and

in effect turn what's left of Ukraine

into a dysfunctional rump state.

Just very important to understand that.

Russia is winning the war,

although slowly for sure. It is winning the war.

It controls 20%

of Ukrainian territory at this point in time.

It's not going to lose that territory. It's going to keep it.

And Ukraine is never going to become a member of NATO.

So Russia will win an ugly victory against

Ukraine. Now, many people in the West are saying

that Ukraine has turned the tide today

and Ukraine can defeat the Russians.

All we have to do is stay in the fight.

We in the West stay in the fight and continue to support the

Ukrainians and the Ukrainians can turn the tide.

That's the opposite argument of the claim that the Russian

army is so powerful that it can conquer Ukraine

and all of Ukraine and conquer territory in Eastern

Europe as well. So you see that the Europeans, the European

elites speak out of both sides of their mouth.

On one hand, they say Ukraine,

I mean, that Russia is so powerful it can conquer all of

Ukraine

and territory in Eastern Europe. And at the same time, they say

it's so weak that Ukraine can win the war. It can't be both.

It has to be one or the other. We have people saying the Russian army

officers

aren't that good. Their army is not that good.

The battalion commanders that the Russians have on the ground in

Ukraine today are

the finest battalion commanders the world has ever seen.

These guys are doing miracles. America's battalion commanders would do

well to study what these guys are doing, how you lead from the front, sustain

combat operations for 100 days and you get better,

not worse.

That's a sign of a professional. The Russians are winning hands down

and they are going to win hands down.

There's nothing that can happen to stop this. Nothing.

But there's a problem.

We can make the cost for Russia

very high.

We make it so high that it actually becomes painful.

And if we make it too high,

then we have what we call a game changing moment.

And we're on the verge of reaching that.

We're providing Russia, providing the Ukrainians with weapons

that are not going to

change the outcome of the war. They are not.

HIMARS is not going to change the outcome of the war.

The M777A2 with its Excalibur round is not going to

change the outcome of the war. Even if they get the Harpoon anti-shipping

missile,

it's not going to change the outcome of the war.

But what it will do is kill Russians and it will kill Russians in large

numbers.

And this will make it more difficult for Russia to win its

victory in a reasonable time frame.

It'll drag this conflict out. Now, Russia will win, but the price

that will be paid by Russia will be very high and the price paid by Ukraine will be

even higher. And for all the people that say we have the little Ukrainian

flag on our thing, we've identified ourselves,

go to hell.

Because

if you care,

if you care about the Ukrainian people,

if you give a damn about humanity, then you'd want this war to be over

today. Because all that's going to happen between

now and the inevitable

termination of this conflict is tens of thousands of Ukrainians

are going to die.

Ukrainian infrastructure will be destroyed.