Impact of Debt on Currency and Assets
Um, they, there is the loss of confidence
in the reserve currency, which drives people to see
alternative store holds of wealth.
So, uh, for example, um, when there's a debt,
um, issue,
um, there are two ways of dealing with debt.
There, there's hard money, you know, traditionally backed by
gold, and when that w- happened, um,
then there was breakdowns in that monetary system,
devaluation. So when, for example, uh, classically,
March 1933, Roosevelt,
um, in ... with the debt problem, uh, was forced
to go off the gold standard, printed a lot of money, devalued the
dollar, and then the, and then it moved on.
Um, in 1971, uh, we had the
same. Uh, Nixon, um, did the same thing, went off the gold
standard, um, and devalued and so on.
And the creation of a lot of debt and money means that
money goes someplace else, and it traditionally, both of those
cases, it went into stocks, gold, and other places.
So money is always the holders of money-
Mm-hmm
... uh, which are the holders of bonds.
Bonds are a promise to receive money, a
lot of money over a period of time. It's a very long
money position. And when those become unattractive,
such as now, let's say, you get zero interest rate
or close to zero interest rate or even a negative interest rate,
and there's a
lot of creation of debt and, um, a lot of printing
of money, that drives, um, that
into other assets. They may not be another currency
if there's not a good currency. They may be stocks, they may be gold,
and they may be another currency. But it is that kind of
time that we're in. So w- next year and the year
after, no matter what, we're going to have large, uh,
deficits. We are going to produce a lot of debt.
And we will monetize that debt, and that debt will have a negative real
return, and therefore, people will borrow in it,
will find it more
advantageous to borrow in it than own it, and then they will move
to other assets
End of transcript · 358 words