Somaliland and Israel: Can Egypt's Alliances Deter Military Bases

The big four, meaning all the rest…

Jordan has twenty- six kilometers and Israel has eleven kilometers. So it is…

I mean it has absolutely no meaning in the strategic context.

And Somaliland itself, regardless of the historical

background and that it was separate for four days in its life and all that…

I mean regardless of this historical background,

Somaliland nonetheless knows full well that it… I mean, well,

it declared secession in’ 91.

I mean it knows full well that it will not reach the legitimacy of

existing as a state.

Instead, it is trying to make use of solid economic relations,

kind of the Taiwan model a bit. Yes, but at least

it is trying to enter the international community through the gate of Israel,

and behind it the American president Donald Trump. That is…

that is the model, but it will not reach that, that is the model like that.

The model is that I try to build economic partnerships and make use of them…

So that I always have a sponsor for my being a separate state, but I have no…

International legal recognition. Yes, but the price that

some expect will be paid for that is an outrageous price… the displacement of

the Palestinians, the establishment of Israeli military bases on the Red Sea.

Look, all of this is theoretical. Practically,

it is impossible for it to happen. Why? Why? For several reasons,

first, the Egyptian forward- looking policy that has existed for

years and the four agreements that were made,

which are from the seventies, with Sudan,

which is the joint defense agreement with Somalia, and the agreement with Djibouti,

and the agreement with Eritrea,

all these agreements on developing ports and treaties and so on.

All of that means there is no way there will be anyone who will have

Ethiopia’s capability, or Israel will never be able

to bear the cost of placing any military equipment or building bases in Somaliland.

Because the cost has become extremely high,

meaning you are just raising the cost. Meaning Egypt managed to

blow up this project. Raising the cost in what sense?

Does that mean it will, for example, be struck? No, not really, he hit her.

Look, ma’am, this is we are also in a low- intensity conflict.

I mean we are still in that zone. We have now gone up a bit,

we are just before medium. But where is the story?

The story today is that states calculate the cost and they

calculate their strategic steps

with a sensitive balance.

I mean Israel might see this as the moment in which there is a president like...