السيولة في التداول: تحديد الاتجاه اليومي باستخدام قمم وقيعان الأطر الزمنية الكبرى

Liquidity is the only thing you need to be profitable in trading.

And why is that? Because liquidity gives you the bias, and nobody talks about this.

To determine daily bias, you just look for the liquidity.

You look for liquidity on the higher time frames.

That's all you've got to do. That's all you've got to do.

And what is liquidity? What actually is it?

Because everyone talks about it, but what actually is it?

It's simply highs and lows on the higher time frame, right?

Now, you do have liquidity on like the 5 minute and 15 minute, but the lower the time frame you go, the less reliable the liquidity is.

That's so important. So many people get this wrong that they'll target a 5 minute high thinking there's loads of liquidity there, but on the higher time frame, you're bearish.

So what you want to do for liquidity is you want to get onto at least a 4-hour or the daily chart. I would say the 4-hour chart.

And what you want to do is you just want to mark all the key highs and lows.

So let's just say currently we're in a massive downtrend on euro, so it's pretty obvious that we're targeting these lows, these lows, these lows.

So what you'll do is you'll just mark out this low here, right?

For example, this key low here, because you know there's so much liquidity here.

So many people have bought the euro, they've seen this huge move upwards, and they've put their stop loss here, right?

And so many large funds, they have their stop losses here, right?

And this is essentially what SMC is. SMC is essentially the opposite of what these large funds do, because lots of large funds have their stop-loss orders here.

And again, and this is what most people get wrong, lots of large funds also think that when price gets to this level, it's going to bounce up, right?

They think this is very good support. And, you know, it baffles people, but I'm telling you, there are large funds with billions who trade support and resistance, right? The majority of traders trade support and resistance.

Not everyone knows about SMC. You know, we're like a little small community.

Not everyone knows about ICT, not everyone knows about SMC.

There are, you know, millions of traders out there, and these large funds, they trade support and resistance.

So what this means, right, is there's lots of liquidity here, and price only moves for liquidity. It doesn't move for anything else.

It moves for liquidity, and, you know, sometimes it'll come into an imbalance.

But the real reason is it goes for highs and lows.

That's all price does. It goes for highs and lows.

It constantly goes for it because that's where the, the lifeblood of the market is. That's where the actual money is, right?

that's where the, the lifeblood of the market is. That's where the actual money is, right?

There's no money in, you know, this little doji here.

Look at these tiny little candles. There's no liquidity here.

The key liquidity pool, though, is here.

And what does that mean for you as a trader?

It means that you only target key liquidity on the higher time frames because that gives you your bias.

We're bearish in this point. We're bearish all the way down here until this low is taken, right? Think about that.

This is a 4-hour chart, so think about how many shorting opportunities there are, all of these candles, until you ride price down straight to this low, right? So the key thing with liquidity is you use the higher time frame,

the 4-hour and the daily, and that gives you your bias.

That's how you determine daily bias. On the higher time frame liquidity, you just got to ask yourself, where's the most obvious draw?

Okay, so we know where our liquidity is.

We know that we're bearish. What does that actually mean?

It means when we get in the lower time frames, we're only going to look for shorts.

We're not going to long euro, we're only going to look for shorts.

And that is the highest probability trade that you can get.

Okay, so I'm on the 5-minute chart for euro, and, you know, we know we're bearish on the higher time frame, so we're not going to get confused by any of this price action here.

Whereas lots of traders, you see this, this is London here.

You see this fair value gap, this displacement upwards.

Lots of traders are going to buy this, right?

Lots of traders are going to... See this fair value gap here?

They're going to buy this retracement during New York thinking that we're bullish, right?

And they're going to target these highs all the way up here.

Now, we know because we've done the higher time frame analysis that we're bearish, so we're not even going to look at any bullish fair value gap. Why would we?

Because we know the higher time frame order flow is bearish, right? We know smart money are selling euro.

Why the hell would we go against them? So we're going to ignore all this bullishness, right?

Right, we're on the 5-minute chart. We're only looking for shorts.

We're only looking for shorts to target the key liquidity on the higher time frame.

And here's the thing, right? When you get on the 5-minute chart, you can kind of refine your entry.

So we know there's going to be lots of liquidity at London low, right? London's low.

Now, here's the key, and this is absolutely crucial when you're on lower time frames.

Wait for a liquidity sweep before you enter.

Now, what is liquidity sweep? We know we're bearish, right?

We know we're bearish, and it's pretty obvious.

Most people know to short the euro, right?

Most people are shorting the euro. So we know people are going to have their stop losses here, right?

Trying to short the euro. They're going to have it here, trying to short the euro.

Um, what you want to see is you want to see a high taken out because we're trying to short.

You want to see an old high taken out, and then you want to see some displacement, and then you want to enter because that's your liquidity sweep.

And here, right here at this high, lots of people are shorting the euro.

They know we're in a downtrend, and they're just trying to ride price down.

Now, you want to wait for a liquidity sweep, right?

This is so important. Wait for the liquidity sweep here, right?

Right here is your liquidity sweep, right here, because price comes out, it wicks through it. You see that little wick?

It wicks through it, and it instantly comes straight down.

Look at how strong these candles are. It instantly reverses massively.

That wick here, this wick was only there to take out these stop-loss orders.

That's the only reason that, that wick was there, right?

It takes out the stop-loss orders. It instantly reverses, and this is the, this is the biggest clue that smart money will give you.

They'll give you a huge fair value gap in the opposite direction.

So you've had your liquidity sweep of the high, you've got a massive fair value gap here, and the fair value gap is in your higher time frame bias.

We know the higher time frame draw on liquidity is bearish, so we know we're bearish.

We've got a liquidity sweep, we've got a huge fair value gap.

We can confidently enter on this fair value gap here, right? Easy, high probability trade.

This is the highest probability trade that you can get in trading.

I'm not even joking. It's so high probability, this.

What you're going to do, put your stop loss here, right at the top of this wick.

Now, why would you do that? Because we swept this high, right?

The only reason this wick exists in price action was just to take out this high, right? There's...

People aren't shorting this wick because this wick was only here to take out that high.

And you got to think, right? Let's say you're trying to short the euro, and you put your stop loss here, and then price comes and takes you out.

You're not going to be very eager, like, "Oh, yeah, let me just short again," and put your stop loss there. No, you're going to be scared.

So this has scared people out of the market.

And, you know, it's very, very unlikely, you know, considering we're bearish on the higher time frames, we've had a reversal, we've got a fair value gap, that if price is bearish, it's going to come all the way up, take out your stop loss, and then go down,

right? Very, very unlikely that's going to happen.

So what you can do, you can enter here, stop loss at the high, and then in terms of take profit, at least target London's low, which would be a l- well, about two to one like that, right?

Or you could target a three to one, four to one, 10 to one, whatever um, target.

But honestly, just keep it simple, right?

If you can get a two to one, or at most, I would say a three to one if you're a day trader, right? Because you don't want a really tight stop.

Because imagine if you... Um, let me just say, imagine if your stop loss was for some reason right at the fair value gap like that, and it just takes you out, and you're aiming for like a four to one or something.

Imagine how annoying that would be, right?

Just put your stop loss at the safe area.

I know it's a bit bigger, and just aim for like a realistic two to one or three to one.